@philou747
#2,880,572410xdab8b04dc471a4269be00c05fa63db216dc4e705
~16d· 39 markets · 118 tradesVol: $33,9502026-08-02 03:35:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (17/38)7.4/20
1.08x (win $828 / loss $768)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75214.1/15
Sortino 1.44510/10
$+0.0630 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 7258 (38 markets)0/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($417 / $476)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Categories
5📈 ECONOMICS#650,402$-60Vol: $21,138
🏛️ POLITICS#1,598,603$-517Vol: $8,069
₿ CRYPTO#1,169,923$-11Vol: $2,726
💰 FINANCE#620,489$-57Vol: $1,605
🎭 CULTURE#723,735$-20Vol: $412
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,950
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
91B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Week
$-63
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-665
Vol: $33,950
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
17W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-665
Win Rate
45%
17W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-38
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $426 (0.6400150319428786% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$245
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$68
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$20
Top Losers
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-181
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-102
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-91
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-90
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-80
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-75
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$-57
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.038
Sortino
0.082
HHI
775
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
31.7%
Half-Kelly
15.8%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
52.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)82.4%
Mid (20-55c)11%
High (>55c)6.6%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 9:50:59 AM9 trades$9,1080 min
4/1/2026, 5:53:11 AM7 trades$3130 min
7/31/2026, 7:25:50 AM2 trades$2150 min
3/31/2026, 10:12:51 PM2 trades$2000 min
3/20/2026, 2:38:19 PM2 trades$1011 min
3/27/2026, 11:04:03 AM1 trades$750 min
3/21/2026, 12:38:43 AM4 trades$665 min
3/20/2026, 11:28:47 PM4 trades$539 min
3/21/2026, 12:24:23 AM4 trades$526 min
3/13/2026, 2:19:33 PM1 trades$500 min
3/19/2026, 2:04:55 PM1 trades$500 min
3/30/2026, 10:48:18 AM1 trades$500 min
3/17/2026, 10:32:03 AM1 trades$480 min
3/13/2026, 2:24:35 PM1 trades$400 min
7/29/2026, 12:18:08 PM2 trades$400 min
3/30/2026, 10:58:30 AM5 trades$403 min
3/21/2026, 6:44:09 PM3 trades$321 min
3/17/2026, 4:02:55 PM1 trades$300 min
4/1/2026, 9:41:37 AM1 trades$300 min
3/13/2026, 10:17:57 PM1 trades$280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
03-20
03-23
03-25
03-30
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.4 / M11 / H6.6