CosmicCedar

@CosmicCedar

#9,45581

0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74

~266d· 2953 markets · 13935 tradesVol: $2,966,6002026-09-23 02:36:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (2546/2889)20/20
1.61x (win $68,131 / loss $42,394)10.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.07215/15
Sortino 2.73410/10
$+0.0188 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 25 (2889 markets)10/10
217/258 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($11,347 / $26,344)5.4/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+30,157
Whale
$1,371,554 invested
Consistent
217/258 profitable days
High Roller
$4,482/day
Win Streak
69 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#11,591$3,925Vol: $1,329,194
📢 MENTIONS#100$19,601Vol: $653,533
🎭 CULTURE#822,897$-6,678Vol: $279,301
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,741$-3,240Vol: $242,636
💰 FINANCE#10,135$275Vol: $240,975
💻 TECH#553$3,451Vol: $65,516
CRYPTO#10,935$4,168Vol: $47,421
🌤️ WEATHER#2,137$666Vol: $14,598
📈 ECONOMICS#24,027$29Vol: $5,361

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,072
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,966,600
Total Redeem
$21,139
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2953
total markets
Trades
7911B / 6024S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~266d

Periods

#2
Today
$70
Vol: $9,694
Week
$-1,992
Vol: $97,000
Month
$-5,591
Vol: $393,873
All Time
$16,072
Vol: $2,966,600

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
2546W / 343L events
Realized PnL
$30,157
Win Rate
88%
2546W / 343L
Profit Factor
1.61x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,184 (0.404018216871497% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?$5,308
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,501
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?$3,375
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?$3,101
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$2,900
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$2,742
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$2,068
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$2,022
Will Adobe say "3D" during earnings call?$1,136
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$1,104

Top Losers

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$-11,658
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$-5,746
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$-4,057
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,732
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$-1,712
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-1,447
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-1,226
Steelers vs. Lions$-1,085
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 26?$-980
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?$-866

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.062
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
7.0%
Half-Kelly
3.5%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
45.5
Active
Markets / Day
9.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency9.7 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)78.5%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 10:30:11 PM26 trades$18,7685 min
2/13/2026, 12:26:25 AM22 trades$15,10014 min
6/3/2026, 6:05:34 AM6 trades$14,9670 min
2/14/2026, 4:10:23 PM25 trades$13,02014 min
11/29/2025, 1:29:11 AM7 trades$12,2903 min
1/20/2026, 11:12:50 PM3 trades$12,2282 min
7/27/2026, 9:42:33 AM12 trades$11,9120 min
7/8/2026, 7:35:35 PM2 trades$11,7800 min
1/20/2026, 4:52:10 PM2 trades$11,1281 min
5/14/2026, 10:13:33 PM12 trades$11,12311 min
12/4/2025, 2:02:01 AM19 trades$10,50018 min
6/30/2026, 10:11:25 AM4 trades$10,0130 min
11/22/2025, 5:00:11 PM10 trades$9,9859 min
7/8/2026, 5:30:01 PM4 trades$9,9204 min
7/24/2026, 10:05:37 PM40 trades$9,55025 min
6/15/2026, 8:18:39 PM4 trades$8,9780 min
1/10/2026, 3:02:18 PM22 trades$8,9427 min
7/10/2026, 8:52:44 PM5 trades$8,5840 min
5/21/2026, 9:48:21 PM27 trades$8,5182 min
1/15/2026, 3:04:06 PM6 trades$8,4401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
11-21
01-03
03-17
05-08
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M4 / H78.5