@alter2

#3,069,7001

0xdad35c8d58faa24ad89a1933b04483311651dbcb

~18d· 52 markets · 282 tradesVol: $38,1622026-08-26 09:13:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (1/35)0/20
0.19x (win $1,061 / loss $5,540)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8470/15
Sortino -4.7880/10
$-1.3004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2309 (35 markets)1/10
1/11 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 522% of peak ($5,540 / $1,061)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,772
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,162
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
114B / 168S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
3%
1W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-3,772
Win Rate
3%
1W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$1,061
Avg Loss
$-292

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,061 (0.28132729919111743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$1,061

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-4,154
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-1,234
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-47
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?$-8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-7
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.242
Sortino
-0.215
HHI
4164
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.301
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
60.3%
Top-5 markets
94%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 6.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)43%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 7:57:41 PM2 trades$3,7280 min
6/25/2026, 4:37:58 AM2 trades$2,9530 min
6/24/2026, 2:42:07 PM5 trades$8010 min
6/29/2026, 10:45:29 AM24 trades$5190 min
6/29/2026, 8:56:32 PM54 trades$3660 min
6/24/2026, 6:53:43 PM2 trades$2220 min
6/29/2026, 6:36:11 PM9 trades$1830 min
7/16/2026, 3:19:31 AM15 trades$1551 min
7/3/2026, 7:31:22 AM6 trades$1550 min
7/1/2026, 3:55:26 PM7 trades$1500 min
7/3/2026, 11:33:52 PM2 trades$850 min
7/15/2026, 3:55:01 PM13 trades$830 min
7/5/2026, 8:09:11 PM12 trades$786 min
7/14/2026, 5:32:56 PM23 trades$720 min
7/15/2026, 9:19:02 PM2 trades$560 min
7/1/2026, 10:34:44 PM13 trades$521 min
7/6/2026, 3:19:35 PM16 trades$501 min
6/30/2026, 2:51:25 AM3 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 3:30:16 AM16 trades$244 min
7/3/2026, 7:22:58 AM7 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-25
06-29
06-30
07-01
07-03
07-05
07-06
07-14
07-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.6 / M4.4 / H43