@WeatherHK2
#5,337750xdadbf9e1df1b8d7a184a0d6ab9c83b2337b61870
~68d· 281 markets · 4551 tradesVol: $1,363,5542026-08-05 17:25:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (116/277)5.9/20
2.14x (win $39,351 / loss $18,375)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.51115/15
Sortino 10.83610/10
$+0.3617 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 829 (277 markets)8.4/10
27/64 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($7,560 / $22,544)7.3/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+31,711
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$57,987 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#45$31,901Vol: $1,307,749
🏛️ POLITICS#1,372,469$-20Vol: $47,794
⚽ SPORTS#1,754,214$-241Vol: $3,503
💰 FINANCE#584,142$-14Vol: $934
Overview
#1Net PnL
$31,624
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,363,554
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
281
total markets
Trades
2116B / 2435S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$241
Vol: $42,247
Week
$980
Vol: $130,522
Month
$1,564
Vol: $168,154
All Time
$31,624
Vol: $1,363,554
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
116W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$31,711
Win Rate
42%
116W / 160L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$339
Avg Loss
$-121
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,386 (0.7690074800070638% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$18,753
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$4,023
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$1,610
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?$1,481
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?$1,222
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$931
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$911
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$889
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?$887
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?$839
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?$-4,001
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?$-1,947
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?$-1,200
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?$-791
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$-769
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?$-662
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$-638
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$-459
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-400
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?$-393
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.130
Sortino
0.474
HHI
307
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.362
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
32.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
43.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 103s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.2%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)48%
Sessions
#124/30/2026, 1:16:34 AM5 trades$25,0001 min
7/22/2026, 2:22:54 PM10 trades$6,0301 min
7/23/2026, 6:38:31 AM6 trades$4,0920 min
6/26/2026, 8:11:56 AM94 trades$3,0807 min
7/21/2026, 2:11:34 PM57 trades$2,9184 min
6/21/2026, 2:40:05 AM22 trades$2,5375 min
7/14/2026, 5:53:10 AM40 trades$2,40320 min
7/13/2026, 6:03:22 AM9 trades$2,2653 min
7/23/2026, 3:07:04 AM19 trades$2,2153 min
7/8/2026, 2:10:02 AM25 trades$2,1725 min
6/26/2026, 2:55:43 PM55 trades$1,8314 min
7/7/2026, 7:03:26 AM2 trades$1,7830 min
7/2/2026, 10:20:11 PM41 trades$1,6722 min
7/9/2026, 6:45:28 AM5 trades$1,2150 min
6/4/2026, 6:58:03 AM42 trades$1,19114 min
5/8/2026, 4:01:28 PM23 trades$1,17210 min
7/4/2026, 7:37:40 AM7 trades$1,1401 min
7/6/2026, 3:14:46 AM13 trades$1,1240 min
7/11/2026, 10:00:26 AM6 trades$1,1160 min
6/29/2026, 9:48:35 AM4 trades$1,0780 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-11
06-09
06-20
06-30
07-13
07-27
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.2 / M9.7 / H48