@forrestgumper
#2,749540xdb3a293fe14c3f46f1bdc7aba7cab559aa29d1cc
~28d· 174 markets · 6506 tradesVol: $3,762,5732026-08-02 06:33:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (72/174)5.7/20
1.21x (win $260,725 / loss $215,011)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.75815/15
Sortino 3.15210/10
$+0.0656 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 256 (174 markets)10/10
13/27 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($49,160 / $63,290)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+66,685
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Whale
$696,457 invested
High Roller
$19,346/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$66,685
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,762,573
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
4975B / 1531S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
72W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$66,685
Win Rate
41%
72W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$3,621
Avg Loss
$-2,108
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78,170 (1.1722338165459574% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$28,991
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$26,714
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$22,465
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$20,697
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$12,014
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5$11,947
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$11,326
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$10,399
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$9,883
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$8,348
Top Losers
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$-34,383
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-13,979
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-12,089
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$-11,104
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5$-8,799
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-7,779
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$-7,198
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-6,716
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-5,839
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-5,154
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.153
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
22.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
180.7
Very active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.8m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
65.0
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
56% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity181 trades/day — automation4.8 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
37.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)49.5%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 12:39:50 AM37 trades$99,7356 min
6/24/2026, 10:05:25 PM274 trades$44,43345 min
7/9/2026, 8:04:50 PM71 trades$36,5951 min
6/25/2026, 1:27:26 AM58 trades$31,10915 min
7/4/2026, 10:29:07 PM153 trades$30,8765 min
6/27/2026, 10:33:47 PM252 trades$29,23124 min
6/25/2026, 1:11:17 AM112 trades$25,4999 min
6/28/2026, 2:17:50 AM177 trades$24,00728 min
7/5/2026, 8:02:55 PM33 trades$23,3737 min
6/27/2026, 3:05:46 AM135 trades$19,58323 min
6/25/2026, 2:06:11 AM88 trades$18,8845 min
6/25/2026, 8:02:17 PM98 trades$16,7939 min
6/26/2026, 7:11:50 PM53 trades$16,7175 min
7/11/2026, 9:48:10 PM40 trades$16,1995 min
6/26/2026, 3:48:07 AM25 trades$16,15613 min
7/4/2026, 6:28:07 PM83 trades$15,24117 min
7/11/2026, 10:09:43 PM67 trades$14,75710 min
6/21/2026, 11:28:25 PM54 trades$13,5009 min
6/20/2026, 2:13:14 AM36 trades$13,4295 min
6/27/2026, 4:56:22 AM66 trades$13,1657 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-22
06-26
06-30
07-04
07-09
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.7 / M28.7 / H49.5