Polydata

@8dcc906a9b

#3,062,89669

0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c

~21d· 45 markets · 1332 tradesVol: $817,6862026-08-01 05:56:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (5/14)2.9/20
3.33x (win $19,413 / loss $5,834)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.84915/15
Sortino 34.29310/10
$+0.1412 per $1 invested7.1/10
HHI 1050 (14 markets)7.3/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($2,573 / $14,755)10/10

Badges

3
Whale
$96,203 invested
High Roller
$1,415/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,747$-23,245Vol: $777,384
📈 ECONOMICS#6,181$324Vol: $40,000
💰 FINANCE#632,690$-107Vol: $302

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,028
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$817,686
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
236B / 1096S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-202
Vol: $0
Week
$-6,035
Vol: $49,961
Month
$-202
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23,028
Vol: $817,686

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
36%
5W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-23,028
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
3.33x
Avg Win
$3,883
Avg Loss
$-729

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,029 (0.7395074504299854% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$9,641
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$4,700
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$2,688
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$2,132
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$252

Top Losers

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$-2,236
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-910
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-872
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$-697
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$-662
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$-338
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$-69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.384
Sortino
1.683
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.556
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity20 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)53%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 7:23:33 AM194 trades$50,54331 min
7/17/2026, 4:01:40 PM90 trades$35,1069 min
7/18/2026, 11:45:10 AM17 trades$28,5941 min
7/24/2026, 1:54:39 AM100 trades$23,0401 min
7/26/2026, 10:07:19 AM38 trades$19,9821 min
7/19/2026, 6:08:24 AM46 trades$15,0441 min
7/30/2026, 8:22:03 AM50 trades$11,1352 min
7/25/2026, 1:42:48 PM40 trades$9,2225 min
7/13/2026, 8:06:43 AM40 trades$9,0827 min
7/12/2026, 12:31:55 AM27 trades$8,7050 min
7/17/2026, 1:04:43 PM7 trades$7,6902 min
7/18/2026, 11:56:30 AM10 trades$7,6772 min
7/17/2026, 10:14:57 AM10 trades$7,3891 min
7/14/2026, 11:16:25 AM23 trades$7,1491 min
7/18/2026, 1:20:22 PM23 trades$6,9180 min
7/18/2026, 10:33:12 AM16 trades$6,5930 min
7/18/2026, 9:53:42 PM4 trades$6,0424 min
7/20/2026, 1:54:33 PM7 trades$4,7712 min
7/18/2026, 5:31:27 PM16 trades$4,6160 min
7/20/2026, 12:06:09 PM25 trades$4,3315 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-24
07-13
07-15
07-18
07-20
07-26
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.7 / M20.3 / H53