@-Ciguli-

#2,918,34340

0xdbe1d397f88ee2382753c9f6c4819a176c6d608d

~132d· 2806 markets · 12062 tradesVol: $1,199,7342026-08-05 17:28:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (2041/2790)20/20
0.35x (win $1,927 / loss $5,464)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8720/15
Sortino -1.8680/10
$-0.0072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 15 (2790 markets)10/10
107/128 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 869% of peak ($4,137 / $476)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Whale
$489,757 invested
Consistent
107/128 profitable days
High Roller
$2,377/day
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#297,153$-813Vol: $1,175,874
₿ CRYPTO#1,515,162$-154Vol: $23,520
🏛️ POLITICS#93,678$46Vol: $135
🎭 CULTURE#526,530$-1Vol: $111
📈 ECONOMICS#496,235$-1Vol: $46
💰 FINANCE#542,997$-5Vol: $32
⚽ SPORTS#691,951$-0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-928
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,199,734
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2806
total markets
Trades
4293B / 7769S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~132d

Periods

#2
Today
$65
Vol: $14,783
Week
$103
Vol: $72,648
Month
$150
Vol: $78,588
All Time
$-928
Vol: $1,199,734

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
2041W / 749L events
Realized PnL
$-928
Win Rate
73%
2041W / 749L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $199 (0.21476459429162714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$83
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$69
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$21

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 15?$-1,540
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$-1,519
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?$-1,387
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?$-67
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.6
Very active
Markets / Day
13.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)85.4%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 8:50:05 PM3 trades$8,0000 min
8/3/2026, 11:09:47 AM6 trades$7,9670 min
6/13/2026, 4:59:07 PM50 trades$6,8721 min
6/14/2026, 4:59:09 PM60 trades$5,9486 min
6/11/2026, 4:50:31 PM78 trades$5,60722 min
6/15/2026, 4:59:45 PM32 trades$5,2160 min
6/13/2026, 11:00:06 PM29 trades$5,1970 min
6/13/2026, 12:00:09 AM56 trades$4,9970 min
6/11/2026, 10:58:21 PM52 trades$4,5372 min
6/10/2026, 4:58:37 PM52 trades$4,4050 min
6/14/2026, 10:59:18 PM14 trades$4,3821 min
8/3/2026, 6:02:12 AM7 trades$4,3730 min
6/15/2026, 3:59:31 PM37 trades$4,2564 min
6/10/2026, 3:59:07 PM46 trades$4,1610 min
6/12/2026, 10:59:24 PM44 trades$4,0931 min
6/12/2026, 9:00:27 AM21 trades$4,0180 min
6/14/2026, 9:00:19 AM42 trades$4,0120 min
7/27/2026, 4:06:33 AM18 trades$4,0054 min
6/8/2026, 9:00:16 PM48 trades$3,8447 min
6/12/2026, 4:59:37 PM46 trades$3,72411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-09
03-25
05-04
06-06
07-05
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M12.5 / H85.4