0xdc3E831cad

@0xdc3E…1cad

#2,46440

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

~300d· 4542 markets · 70036 tradesVol: $47,572,2772026-09-22 11:31:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (3544/4388)20/20
0.80x (win $618,827 / loss $777,928)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0470/15
Sortino -1.1170/10
$-0.0120 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 55 (4388 markets)10/10
221/295 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 205% of peak ($310,657 / $151,543)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+52,209
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.5 entries/market
Whale
$13,275,294 invested
Consistent
221/295 profitable days
High Roller
$34,303/day
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648,314$-80,204Vol: $17,751,328
SPORTS#1,690$38,193Vol: $8,090,156
🎭 CULTURE#136$50,461Vol: $6,195,836
📈 ECONOMICS#698,664$-16,355Vol: $5,729,352
CRYPTO#1,717,053$-8,902Vol: $3,707,527
💰 FINANCE#104$35,515Vol: $2,613,555
💻 TECH#28$41,254Vol: $1,667,123
🌤️ WEATHER#584$3,620Vol: $398,381
📢 MENTIONS#188$10,260Vol: $274,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74,124
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,572,277
Total Redeem
$10,275
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4542
total markets
Trades
38656B / 31380S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~300d

Periods

#2
Today
$595
Vol: $96,295
Week
$-4,820
Vol: $218,375
Month
$118,314
Vol: $288,029
All Time
$74,124
Vol: $47,572,277

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
3544W / 844L events
Realized PnL
$52,209
Win Rate
81%
3544W / 844L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$175
Avg Loss
$-1,127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45,634 (0.8740580160953216% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$18,079
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$14,001
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$13,553
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$12,260
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$9,537
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9,018
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?$8,510
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$7,688
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$7,511
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$7,485

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-100,248
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-66,090
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-52,218
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-30,888
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-24,971
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-22,581
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-21,491
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$-21,123
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-20,914
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-19,541

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
181.0
Very active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.4

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 5.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock181 trades/day — automation12 markets/day — mass coverage90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 7:24:29 AM2 trades$221,7694 min
3/26/2026, 8:10:47 PM14 trades$145,2336 min
3/16/2026, 4:54:43 PM4 trades$132,7197 min
3/29/2026, 7:49:36 PM48 trades$118,9145 min
3/19/2026, 2:43:57 PM41 trades$115,60411 min
3/19/2026, 1:37:41 PM2 trades$115,3723 min
3/20/2026, 3:52:37 PM2 trades$111,0001 min
3/21/2026, 3:47:53 AM7 trades$108,9937 min
2/3/2026, 6:51:10 AM13 trades$107,7828 min
3/19/2026, 11:25:51 PM7 trades$106,23617 min
3/20/2026, 1:02:59 AM1 trades$102,9770 min
2/1/2026, 8:49:38 PM196 trades$98,476107 min
12/24/2025, 2:47:53 PM21 trades$95,63611 min
3/1/2026, 12:00:33 AM15 trades$95,04716 min
1/31/2026, 8:25:14 AM28 trades$94,00427 min
1/31/2026, 6:14:26 AM1 trades$92,2610 min
1/31/2026, 5:04:52 AM1 trades$92,0770 min
12/31/2025, 3:20:25 AM64 trades$83,10646 min
12/4/2025, 12:44:07 PM35 trades$76,51934 min
3/26/2026, 7:56:37 AM33 trades$75,58934 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
08-09
09-27
11-15
01-03
02-21
04-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.2 / M12.4 / H44.4