nigiri99

@nigiri99

#3,159,07020

0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e

~82d· 2218 markets · 236964 tradesVol: $82,546,0192026-09-22 04:05:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (2164/5169)5.9/20
0.77x (win $5,707,597 / loss $7,390,265)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4700/15
Sortino -1.5590/10
$-1.4262 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 141 (5169 markets)10/10
231/500 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 870% of peak ($1,588,268 / $182,490)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Whale
$1,179,808 invested
High Roller
$2,181/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,928,567$-745,456Vol: $70,989,016
📈 ECONOMICS#699,057$-433,480Vol: $5,504,281
🏛️ POLITICS#1,643,241$-8,557Vol: $1,467,929
🌤️ WEATHER#244,507$-10Vol: $2,383
💰 FINANCE#33,683$29Vol: $569
💻 TECH#18,246$11Vol: $222
🎭 CULTURE#108,257$3Vol: $210
CRYPTO#1,170,590$-11Vol: $89

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,332,882
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,546,019
Total Redeem
$14,701
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2218
total markets
Trades
11076B / 12822S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,077
Vol: $55,565
Week
$-369,515
Vol: $12,944,918
Month
$468,858
Vol: $50,292,694
All Time
$-1,332,882
Vol: $82,546,019

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
2308W / 3186L events
Realized PnL
$-1,332,882
Win Rate
42%
2308W / 3186L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$2,638
Avg Loss
$-2,553

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $658,684 (0.4941802555960036% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?$307,765
Spread: CAR (-1.5)$184,332
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?$166,587
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?$122,752
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?$116,345
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?$101,462
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx$96,462
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-07?$93,715
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$83,784
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies$68,011

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-448,414
Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?$-302,131
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-247,316
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?$-121,315
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan$-116,014
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?$-112,549
Broncos vs. Chiefs$-111,244
Spread: Bills (-5.5)$-100,818
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$-95,104
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?$-88,217

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
5231
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48%
Top-5 markets
115.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
438.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.2m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
66.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 5.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock438 trades/day — automation4.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.3
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)55.3%
High (>55c)31.5%

Sessions

#12
9/20/2026, 4:12:39 PM104 trades$61,80540 min
9/9/2026, 8:10:43 PM18 trades$61,3791 min
9/14/2026, 11:13:57 PM10 trades$50,24011 min
8/13/2026, 10:25:33 PM385 trades$26,828114 min
9/14/2026, 2:34:57 PM2 trades$25,8380 min
8/7/2026, 9:35:04 PM363 trades$24,518126 min
8/12/2026, 10:05:19 PM132 trades$24,02456 min
9/14/2026, 7:58:07 PM5 trades$20,9130 min
7/15/2026, 4:22:44 PM5 trades$20,4190 min
9/20/2026, 12:41:04 PM2 trades$20,1220 min
9/12/2026, 4:32:30 AM12 trades$18,9412 min
3/31/2026, 5:04:31 PM352 trades$18,076111 min
9/14/2026, 10:07:46 AM6 trades$16,4550 min
9/17/2026, 11:45:48 PM54 trades$16,15427 min
9/10/2026, 3:39:24 PM36 trades$15,98134 min
9/5/2026, 11:15:33 PM30 trades$15,7938 min
9/19/2026, 9:05:12 PM15 trades$15,45710 min
9/14/2026, 9:00:55 PM10 trades$15,3218 min
8/17/2026, 2:19:30 AM76 trades$14,56520 min
9/6/2026, 2:00:49 PM2 trades$14,4570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-22 23:00:00
2026-08-26 23:10:00
2026-08-30 18:45:00
2026-09-06 13:30:00
2026-09-12 16:30:00
2026-09-17 17:10:00
2026-09-26 09:30:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.2 / M55.3 / H31.5