nightowlnine

@nightowlnine

#2,967,49939

0xdc5b7413154c01fcc367c085392fd51bf9efc345

~29d· 63 markets · 670 tradesVol: $112,0802026-08-04 14:07:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (45/62)20/20
0.65x (win $4,184 / loss $6,486)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8530/15
Sortino -1.9860/10
$-0.0519 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 682 (62 markets)9.1/10
17/24 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 2736% of peak ($5,880 / $215)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Consistent
17/24 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,729$-5,510Vol: $62,893
💰 FINANCE#1,433$3,627Vol: $29,993
📈 ECONOMICS#15,739$65Vol: $10,672
💻 TECH#2,904$332Vol: $3,987
SPORTS#416,994$1Vol: $2,897
🎭 CULTURE#60,206$13Vol: $1,540
📢 MENTIONS#127,604$-10Vol: $99

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,481
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,080
Total Redeem
$8,232
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
324B / 346S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $70
Week
$39
Vol: $654
Month
$52
Vol: $755
All Time
$-1,481
Vol: $112,080

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
45W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-1,520
Win Rate
73%
45W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-432

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,625 (1.7273905634182771% of PnL)

Top Winners

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?$1,500
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?$642
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$483
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$397
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?$295
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?$245
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$215
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?$130
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 56% and 58%?$54
Government shutdown on Saturday?$51

Top Losers

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$-3,755
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$-2,225
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?$-286
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-136
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$-30
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?$-30
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$-8
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?$-4
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$-4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be greater than 2,300,000?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
699
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
48.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
3/17/2026, 6:20:45 PM1 trades$5,4660 min
2/10/2026, 4:57:37 AM10 trades$5,2619 min
2/26/2026, 2:06:18 PM1 trades$3,7410 min
3/3/2026, 1:08:31 AM11 trades$3,57910 min
3/2/2026, 11:35:47 PM23 trades$3,56014 min
2/19/2026, 4:55:06 AM7 trades$3,1909 min
2/15/2026, 8:29:21 PM7 trades$3,1656 min
4/2/2026, 2:20:23 PM25 trades$3,0210 min
2/6/2026, 9:15:23 PM32 trades$2,78831 min
2/8/2026, 3:25:23 PM1 trades$2,7080 min
2/11/2026, 12:22:15 AM1 trades$2,5840 min
2/10/2026, 9:38:31 AM2 trades$2,5831 min
2/5/2026, 4:34:47 AM1 trades$2,3450 min
3/25/2026, 7:22:01 PM1 trades$2,0360 min
2/6/2026, 2:48:41 AM4 trades$1,63811 min
2/4/2026, 4:41:09 PM54 trades$1,52277 min
2/6/2026, 9:51:47 PM30 trades$1,39917 min
2/9/2026, 7:34:03 PM27 trades$1,36815 min
2/16/2026, 10:31:59 AM16 trades$1,3513 min
2/6/2026, 6:42:15 AM13 trades$1,0358 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-08
02-14
02-19
03-06
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M20.7 / H78.1