mutedcalls

@mutedcalls

#38,37457

0xdc9ec0e38b7b5bd6d91953bcc2e3676fcf5e5a9e

~54d· 148 markets · 670 tradesVol: $135,285 @mutedcalls2026-08-02 06:36:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (73/143)10.5/20
1.08x (win $14,676 / loss $13,533)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06115/15
Sortino 1.43710/10
$+0.0363 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 164 (143 markets)10/10
26/49 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 116% of peak ($2,089 / $1,795)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,956
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#14,801$2,956Vol: $135,285

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,956
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,285
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
213B / 457S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$82
Vol: $170
Week
$390
Vol: $170
Month
$25
Vol: $1,583
All Time
$2,956
Vol: $135,285

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
73W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$2,956
Win Rate
51%
73W / 70L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$201
Avg Loss
$-215

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,015 (0.6817457605904899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$827
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$628
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves$560
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$490
Spurs vs. Knicks$459
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$448
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$412
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$383
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$302
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$255

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,023
MLB All-Star Game$-737
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox$-600
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva$-600
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-500
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-500
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-380
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-300
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$-300
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.065
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2714s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)58.7%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 9:14:06 PM2 trades$2,2200 min
6/17/2026, 2:27:40 AM4 trades$2,0221 min
6/6/2026, 1:50:30 AM2 trades$1,4810 min
6/24/2026, 11:54:22 PM2 trades$1,4490 min
7/14/2026, 9:00:25 PM11 trades$1,2854 min
7/20/2026, 1:01:55 AM2 trades$1,2410 min
7/15/2026, 9:53:07 PM2 trades$1,2210 min
7/22/2026, 8:21:07 PM2 trades$1,1110 min
6/28/2026, 1:07:10 PM17 trades$1,0804 min
7/12/2026, 10:07:34 AM5 trades$1,0591 min
6/15/2026, 10:37:45 AM6 trades$1,0240 min
6/18/2026, 6:26:02 PM13 trades$9384 min
6/20/2026, 1:50:59 AM4 trades$9110 min
6/25/2026, 3:23:14 AM27 trades$8990 min
6/5/2026, 9:13:28 AM17 trades$8943 min
6/11/2026, 4:57:33 AM18 trades$8130 min
6/16/2026, 4:46:30 AM3 trades$7950 min
6/17/2026, 10:01:55 PM4 trades$7904 min
6/23/2026, 2:44:22 PM9 trades$7704 min
6/24/2026, 4:00:46 PM7 trades$7260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-13
06-21
06-29
07-08
07-18
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M32.4 / H58.7