@0xdd22…2013

#21,66828

0xdd22fb0e71982d6793e9a22e47306c462eba2013

~33d· 117 markets · 1416 tradesVol: $123,5012026-08-23 14:28:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (61/117)11.1/20
0.87x (win $6,250 / loss $7,218)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8860/15
Sortino -0.9760/10
$-0.0993 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 303 (117 markets)10/10
16/30 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 571% of peak ($4,466 / $783)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,718
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#337$6,262Vol: $123,501

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,501
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
117
total markets
Trades
351B / 1065S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $311
Week
$552
Vol: $311
Month
$1,094
Vol: $52,465
All Time
$6,262
Vol: $123,501

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
61W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$5,718
Win Rate
52%
61W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,279 (0.3985616116106486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?$983
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$944
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 5?$352
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 7?$209
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 16?$208
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?$208
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 13?$202
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?$192
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?$189
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 13?$184

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?$-2,245
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?$-827
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?$-434
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?$-373
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?$-342
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 25?$-316
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?$-289
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11?$-234
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?$-216
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?$-207

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
366
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
32.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1800s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)48.4%
High (>55c)28.2%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 8:01:07 PM11 trades$9240 min
6/20/2026, 1:00:05 AM14 trades$5181 min
7/21/2026, 7:50:22 PM8 trades$4900 min
8/13/2026, 12:55:48 PM7 trades$4294 min
7/6/2026, 12:50:04 AM11 trades$3732 min
6/19/2026, 9:26:04 PM7 trades$3384 min
8/12/2026, 2:01:33 PM16 trades$3251 min
7/22/2026, 5:24:18 AM4 trades$3100 min
7/22/2026, 5:32:28 AM6 trades$3100 min
6/20/2026, 4:07:04 AM7 trades$3090 min
6/20/2026, 12:00:04 AM8 trades$3080 min
6/20/2026, 7:30:07 AM7 trades$2890 min
6/19/2026, 2:16:05 PM7 trades$2800 min
7/22/2026, 6:00:51 AM4 trades$2680 min
6/25/2026, 4:28:05 AM5 trades$2610 min
6/24/2026, 9:51:07 PM9 trades$2590 min
7/4/2026, 6:22:04 PM5 trades$2500 min
7/2/2026, 3:20:04 PM5 trades$2490 min
6/19/2026, 10:07:04 PM11 trades$2380 min
6/23/2026, 4:20:07 AM7 trades$2380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-08
06-13
06-19
07-02
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.4 / M48.4 / H28.2