twe2nty

@twe2nty

#3,056,30539

0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a

~164d· 322 markets · 4544 tradesVol: $5,634,5692026-08-02 06:24:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (175/228)20/20
0.52x (win $91,896 / loss $177,906)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3490/15
Sortino -3.5300/10
$-0.0287 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 216 (228 markets)10/10
45/68 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 1041% of peak ($107,717 / $10,346)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 11.7 entries/market
Whale
$2,992,152 invested
Consistent
45/68 profitable days
High Roller
$11,334/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,689$-13,557Vol: $3,880,846
CRYPTO#8,064$6,031Vol: $808,515
🎭 CULTURE#1,908$3,874Vol: $509,106
📈 ECONOMICS#680,871$-3,593Vol: $242,415
💻 TECH#258,073$-7,041Vol: $96,475
💰 FINANCE#1,489$3,439Vol: $45,646
🌤️ WEATHER#8,204$77Vol: $41,566
SPORTS#333,067$5Vol: $10,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,766
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,634,569
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
322
total markets
Trades
2309B / 2235S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~164d

Periods

#2
Today
$330
Vol: $0
Week
$2,795
Vol: $0
Month
$1,936
Vol: $6,743
All Time
$-10,766
Vol: $5,634,569

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
175W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-10,766
Win Rate
77%
175W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$525
Avg Loss
$-3,421

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,810 (2.490284503041579% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11,361
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$8,154
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$7,295
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$6,365
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$4,573
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3,428
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$3,406
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3,260
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3,179
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$3,086

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-27,504
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-27,388
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-20,565
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-19,351
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-18,320
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-10,061
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-6,931
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-6,154
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-5,155
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-3,885

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.174
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 3.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)65.3%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 12:25:54 AM68 trades$115,1322 min
3/3/2026, 4:44:35 PM15 trades$99,2015 min
12/21/2025, 2:28:49 PM10 trades$86,63816 min
1/9/2026, 6:40:48 PM17 trades$82,97112 min
1/3/2026, 4:20:37 AM1 trades$81,4870 min
1/15/2026, 1:44:42 PM24 trades$66,20926 min
1/19/2026, 12:17:54 PM13 trades$61,7708 min
12/24/2025, 7:17:21 PM4 trades$59,8003 min
1/1/2026, 1:02:05 PM1 trades$59,7000 min
1/15/2026, 3:27:20 PM133 trades$55,18775 min
12/19/2025, 12:32:16 PM13 trades$54,79010 min
12/19/2025, 1:21:02 PM25 trades$51,56036 min
2/27/2026, 1:49:23 PM9 trades$50,0498 min
2/3/2026, 5:22:08 PM1 trades$49,9500 min
2/3/2026, 6:28:56 PM1 trades$49,9500 min
2/7/2026, 8:21:37 PM1 trades$49,9500 min
2/1/2026, 1:52:26 PM1 trades$49,9000 min
1/13/2026, 8:12:15 AM1 trades$49,2000 min
12/24/2025, 5:25:01 PM9 trades$47,03012 min
1/15/2026, 2:54:48 PM35 trades$46,92124 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
12-04
12-28
01-22
02-20
03-08
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.4 / M11.3 / H65.3