@Forecastication2
#3,070,731250xdd5ef115f801999575b03d78d0115ad8b2d59040
~98d· 5656 markets · 101704 tradesVol: $16,078,7012026-08-02 07:40:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (2668/5602)8.8/20
0.91x (win $2,401,760 / loss $2,639,361)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6640/15
Sortino -1.9430/10
$-0.0594 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 14 (5602 markets)10/10
48/97 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 438% of peak ($344,596 / $78,617)0/10
Badges
6Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 18.0 entries/market
Whale
$3,997,126 invested
High Roller
$32,763/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,882,242$-193,892Vol: $15,260,166
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-207,668
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,078,701
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5656
total markets
Trades
47321B / 54383S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d
Periods
#2Today
$-378
Vol: $14,273
Week
$-4,725
Vol: $14,273
Month
$6,769
Vol: $84,585
All Time
$-207,668
Vol: $16,078,701
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
2667W / 2934L events
Realized PnL
$-207,668
Win Rate
48%
2667W / 2934L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$900
Avg Loss
$-928
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $108,634 (0.5231113729816854% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: France (-1.5)$48,855
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners$31,085
Spread: England (-1.5)$28,693
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$26,820
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5$26,640
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$26,590
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$25,742
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$22,995
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$22,680
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5$22,496
Top Losers
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-69,758
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-45,765
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$-43,432
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-39,600
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-37,090
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$-33,660
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-32,151
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-31,212
Spread: England (-1.5)$-28,344
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5$-27,675
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
833.6
Very active
Markets / Day
46.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
111 min
Avg Trades / Session
726.1
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 25s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock834 trades/day — automation46 markets/day — mass coverage47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)46.2%
High (>55c)36.6%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 2:27:19 AM2453 trades$136,965410 min
6/20/2026, 5:58:23 PM866 trades$114,237100 min
6/21/2026, 4:47:10 PM950 trades$106,259142 min
6/19/2026, 7:50:10 PM1472 trades$100,428165 min
6/14/2026, 9:46:42 PM1161 trades$99,772149 min
7/9/2026, 11:59:23 AM1893 trades$97,047173 min
6/28/2026, 1:07:56 AM855 trades$92,17052 min
6/14/2026, 5:37:22 AM900 trades$86,395145 min
6/15/2026, 2:59:01 AM1218 trades$83,394187 min
6/23/2026, 6:44:31 PM490 trades$83,35833 min
6/26/2026, 2:58:19 PM403 trades$77,983120 min
6/17/2026, 12:00:56 AM565 trades$76,73986 min
6/19/2026, 11:46:31 PM709 trades$76,69678 min
6/15/2026, 12:23:57 AM639 trades$73,442149 min
6/27/2026, 4:52:47 AM908 trades$71,255210 min
6/15/2026, 11:05:37 PM871 trades$68,752166 min
6/22/2026, 7:24:31 PM640 trades$66,39266 min
6/18/2026, 5:44:59 PM613 trades$65,61777 min
6/18/2026, 12:17:20 AM851 trades$65,074106 min
6/17/2026, 6:58:28 PM608 trades$64,09862 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
05-13
05-29
06-15
07-01
07-17
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.1 / M46.2 / H36.6