@wan123

#15358

0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b

~177d· 366 markets · 29206 tradesVol: $53,486,1542026-09-21 17:46:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (120/312)4.2/20
1.38x (win $8,638,570 / loss $6,278,518)7.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.27915/15
Sortino 2.69210/10
$+0.1814 per $1 invested9.1/10
HHI 282 (312 markets)10/10
42/107 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($2,157,675 / $3,100,829)0.1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,256,832
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Whale
$13,011,631 invested
High Roller
$24,140/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#18$1,953,991Vol: $35,622,158
📈 ECONOMICS#699,021$-440,697Vol: $8,479,782
SPORTS#1,928,265$-446,189Vol: $7,782,675
CRYPTO#437$72,715Vol: $1,292,068
📢 MENTIONS#108$18,744Vol: $130,403
💰 FINANCE#1,936$2,520Vol: $31,888
🎭 CULTURE#2,365$2,896Vol: $14,516
💻 TECH#149$12,138Vol: $13,915

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,135,073
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,486,154
Total Redeem
$1,662,121
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
366
total markets
Trades
17761B / 11445S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~177d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15,105
Vol: $30,337
Week
$42,622
Vol: $1,697,507
Month
$101,630
Vol: $3,056,761
All Time
$1,135,073
Vol: $53,486,154

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
120W / 192L events
Realized PnL
$1,256,832
Win Rate
38%
120W / 192L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$71,988
Avg Loss
$-32,872

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,761,439 (2.9927938347661436% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,057,884
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$918,149
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$785,406
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$537,172
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$410,591
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$363,170
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$294,883
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$288,874
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$274,110
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$242,062

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,077,093
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-443,592
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-378,426
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-367,285
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-364,408
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-339,468
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-250,573
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-223,661
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-217,424
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-164,830

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.121
HHI
631
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
40%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
89.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 6.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading0.7 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
134.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)20.3%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 1:30:11 AM82 trades$501,1486 min
4/12/2026, 12:52:19 PM205 trades$455,1902 min
9/20/2026, 12:22:00 PM346 trades$377,97025 min
3/4/2026, 4:07:01 PM16 trades$330,1391 min
4/29/2026, 5:20:22 PM178 trades$327,9051 min
3/4/2026, 6:13:39 PM21 trades$326,11314 min
2/28/2026, 9:38:05 PM5 trades$297,5110 min
4/7/2026, 11:15:29 PM31 trades$266,5552 min
5/10/2026, 8:06:28 PM130 trades$256,6788 min
6/2/2026, 12:34:53 PM18 trades$249,2142 min
4/8/2026, 4:39:41 PM61 trades$245,71016 min
4/30/2026, 5:31:46 PM155 trades$242,9174 min
4/24/2026, 3:42:24 PM153 trades$235,52115 min
5/6/2026, 9:04:12 AM141 trades$218,2604 min
6/11/2026, 10:04:04 PM52 trades$211,2081 min
2/28/2026, 7:36:57 PM17 trades$207,5494 min
6/11/2026, 5:21:43 PM159 trades$207,19514 min
3/1/2026, 1:44:03 AM25 trades$206,2925 min
4/30/2026, 8:00:50 PM6 trades$202,7921 min
4/30/2026, 1:24:40 AM2 trades$200,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-16
04-15
05-06
05-25
06-26
09-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 134.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M39.2 / H20.3