@wan123

#14853

0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b

~135d· 327 markets · 26970 tradesVol: $50,110,3402026-08-02 06:24:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (110/287)4.2/20
1.30x (win $4,834,637 / loss $3,717,595)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.20315/15
Sortino 2.61410/10
$+0.0977 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 277 (287 markets)10/10
35/95 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($1,112,009 / $1,695,256)0.9/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,200,927
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$11,437,039 invested
High Roller
$23,485/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#18$2,056,981Vol: $34,982,366
📈 ECONOMICS#682,352$-597,377Vol: $7,271,567
SPORTS#1,882,394$-355,232Vol: $6,979,949
CRYPTO#493$74,043Vol: $708,211
📢 MENTIONS#105$18,747Vol: $130,403
💰 FINANCE#1,830$2,737Vol: $29,958
🎭 CULTURE#2,325$2,975Vol: $7,116
💻 TECH#253,706$-304Vol: $771

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,202,570
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,110,340
Total Redeem
$1,662,121
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
327
total markets
Trades
16452B / 10518S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$15,913
Vol: $0
Week
$-420,574
Vol: $0
Month
$9,131
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,202,570
Vol: $50,110,340

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
110W / 177L events
Realized PnL
$1,200,927
Win Rate
38%
110W / 177L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$43,951
Avg Loss
$-21,123

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,898,608 (1.580951497428745% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,028,942
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$459,075
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$410,591
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$392,703
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$213,844
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$201,175
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$181,585
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$167,533
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$147,442
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$144,437

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-538,546
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-221,796
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-189,213
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-183,642
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-182,204
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-169,734
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-125,287
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-111,959
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-111,830
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-108,712

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.124
HHI
225
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.2m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 6.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading0.7 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
86.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.8%
High (>55c)18%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 1:30:11 AM82 trades$501,1486 min
4/12/2026, 12:52:19 PM205 trades$455,1902 min
3/4/2026, 4:07:01 PM16 trades$330,1391 min
4/29/2026, 5:20:22 PM178 trades$327,9051 min
3/4/2026, 6:13:39 PM21 trades$326,11314 min
2/28/2026, 9:38:05 PM5 trades$297,5110 min
4/7/2026, 11:15:29 PM31 trades$266,5552 min
5/10/2026, 8:06:28 PM130 trades$256,6788 min
6/2/2026, 12:34:53 PM18 trades$249,2142 min
4/8/2026, 4:39:41 PM61 trades$245,71016 min
4/30/2026, 5:31:46 PM155 trades$242,9174 min
4/24/2026, 3:42:24 PM153 trades$235,52115 min
5/6/2026, 9:04:12 AM141 trades$218,2604 min
6/11/2026, 10:04:04 PM52 trades$211,2081 min
2/28/2026, 7:36:57 PM17 trades$207,5494 min
6/11/2026, 5:21:43 PM159 trades$207,19514 min
3/1/2026, 1:44:03 AM25 trades$206,2925 min
4/30/2026, 8:00:50 PM6 trades$202,7921 min
4/30/2026, 1:24:40 AM2 trades$200,0000 min
4/8/2026, 6:48:39 PM2 trades$199,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-10
04-08
04-26
05-15
06-03
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 86.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.1 / M39.8 / H18