@variant1.meta
#118,456200xdf59c7f09a1f0fe407a9fb48f7282012398adeb0
~101d· 400 markets · 8744 tradesVol: $288,8682026-08-05 15:51:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (165/357)8.1/20
0.65x (win $17,862 / loss $27,520)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0170/15
Sortino -2.6400/10
$-0.0973 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 210 (357 markets)10/10
25/67 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 309% of peak ($14,491 / $4,694)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+478
DCA Master
Avg 25.0 entries/market
Whale
$99,215 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#20,366$813Vol: $166,622
🎭 CULTURE#785,644$-109Vol: $59,356
₿ CRYPTO#1,529,529$-186Vol: $31,536
⚽ SPORTS#107,254$129Vol: $12,780
💻 TECH#3,500$244Vol: $9,250
📈 ECONOMICS#25,032$27Vol: $5,041
💰 FINANCE#649,854$-485Vol: $3,291
🌤️ WEATHER#27,766$6Vol: $766
📢 MENTIONS#10,545$38Vol: $226
Overview
#1Net PnL
$478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$288,868
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
400
total markets
Trades
5196B / 3548S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d
Periods
#2Today
$45
Vol: $2,951
Week
$325
Vol: $4,068
Month
$25
Vol: $8,840
All Time
$478
Vol: $288,868
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
165W / 192L events
Realized PnL
$478
Win Rate
46%
165W / 192L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-152
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,371 (21.68412469422317% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$6,157
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$2,402
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,812
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$1,049
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$698
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$547
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$509
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$432
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$306
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$299
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,329
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-4,454
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,735
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-2,505
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-2,200
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-1,345
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-514
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-511
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-403
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-335
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
286
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
29.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
50.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.6
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — mass trading2.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)52.3%
Sessions
#125/20/2026, 10:45:40 PM44 trades$2,94719 min
5/17/2026, 3:20:29 PM28 trades$2,6697 min
7/8/2026, 7:10:47 PM26 trades$2,39914 min
8/5/2026, 12:06:23 PM26 trades$2,1549 min
5/12/2026, 9:19:42 PM2 trades$2,1310 min
7/9/2026, 12:08:01 PM37 trades$2,0505 min
8/1/2026, 9:41:47 PM21 trades$1,9863 min
5/19/2026, 11:53:38 AM27 trades$1,86412 min
6/8/2026, 9:35:37 AM18 trades$1,8366 min
8/5/2026, 3:04:48 PM9 trades$1,7950 min
5/15/2026, 6:42:22 PM4 trades$1,6161 min
6/4/2026, 1:32:12 AM13 trades$1,4386 min
6/23/2026, 10:20:59 AM11 trades$1,4363 min
3/4/2026, 2:25:09 PM352 trades$1,42376 min
5/6/2026, 7:39:08 PM6 trades$1,3900 min
5/14/2026, 9:19:02 AM5 trades$1,3501 min
7/9/2026, 12:40:41 PM13 trades$1,3252 min
2/17/2026, 3:17:33 PM397 trades$1,28736 min
3/15/2026, 7:06:15 AM198 trades$1,24283 min
5/27/2026, 8:53:36 PM17 trades$1,2356 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-15
05-16
05-30
06-18
07-01
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M24.8 / H52.3