Marty-Byrde

@Marty-Byrde

#2,981,65230

0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349

~646d· 3108 markets · 61922 tradesVol: $7,024,124 @PolymarketIQ2026-08-02 06:23:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (1725/2981)13.9/20
0.70x (win $139,058 / loss $197,251)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7260/15
Sortino -0.7610/10
$-0.0381 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (2981 markets)10/10
279/500 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 1014% of peak ($71,591 / $7,062)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 19.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,526,979 invested
High Roller
$2,300/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,974$-1,475Vol: $2,139,699
SPORTS#1,812,435$-725Vol: $1,740,399
CRYPTO#26,151$1,321Vol: $1,088,325
🎭 CULTURE#3,120$1,987Vol: $585,073
💰 FINANCE#1,117$4,786Vol: $445,743
💻 TECH#258,046$-6,262Vol: $306,209
📈 ECONOMICS#670,195$-258Vol: $287,216
📢 MENTIONS#175,470$-1,539Vol: $98,064
🌤️ WEATHER#4,394$237Vol: $35,966

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,780
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,024,124
Total Redeem
$204
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3108
total markets
Trades
39375B / 22547S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~646d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $1,984
Week
$-3
Vol: $1,984
Month
$-1
Vol: $4,101
All Time
$-1,780
Vol: $7,024,124

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
1725W / 1256L events
Realized PnL
$-1,780
Win Rate
58%
1725W / 1256L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,394 (15.952755772796227% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,861
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,750
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,783
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$5,993
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$4,562
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,095
No one announced as next James Bond?$3,946
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,714
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,937
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,815

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-78,637
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-9,942
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,472
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-5,022
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-4,594
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-4,419
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-4,061
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,617
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2,613
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-1,866

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.2m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
28 min
Avg Trades / Session
50.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock93 trades/day — mass trading4.7 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.4%
High (>55c)42.1%

Sessions

#12
3/29/2026, 11:52:16 PM72 trades$23,80749 min
3/29/2026, 2:59:58 PM120 trades$21,18355 min
6/18/2026, 7:18:40 PM80 trades$8,66126 min
7/11/2026, 11:08:11 PM54 trades$7,68927 min
6/22/2026, 10:13:31 PM25 trades$7,59114 min
3/26/2026, 1:39:31 PM79 trades$7,56065 min
12/29/2024, 4:33:18 PM267 trades$7,279134 min
3/26/2026, 11:38:57 AM118 trades$7,110103 min
7/3/2026, 12:07:44 AM31 trades$6,92027 min
3/21/2026, 8:10:55 PM66 trades$6,86626 min
7/7/2026, 2:26:50 AM27 trades$6,46725 min
7/12/2026, 10:09:13 AM83 trades$6,46215 min
3/21/2026, 7:20:47 PM42 trades$6,16117 min
3/20/2026, 5:17:05 PM21 trades$6,05317 min
7/12/2026, 1:25:50 AM34 trades$5,87615 min
3/29/2026, 1:53:56 AM25 trades$5,80218 min
7/10/2026, 6:55:41 PM34 trades$5,41317 min
6/1/2026, 4:24:37 AM36 trades$5,3601 min
3/3/2026, 8:29:39 PM105 trades$5,20651 min
7/9/2026, 4:14:40 PM20 trades$5,1736 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
03-19
06-19
09-21
12-26
03-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 271 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.5 / M28.4 / H42.1