@0xe15a…9854
#2,980,950100xe15adff235266da3aedd400f88f002ac33079854
~43d· 123 markets · 569 tradesVol: $115,7492026-10-07 17:00:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (32/118)0/20
0.50x (win $1,014 / loss $2,032)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9610/15
Sortino -6.1550/10
$-0.1034 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 292 (118 markets)10/10
11/36 profitable days (31%)0.1/10
Max DD 408% of peak ($1,349 / $330)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#812,757$-376Vol: $84,274
⚽ SPORTS#1,768,607$-170Vol: $21,763
🏛️ POLITICS#117,934$28Vol: $6,104
🌤️ WEATHER#293,498$-157Vol: $3,367
📈 ECONOMICS#638,115$-20Vol: $241
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-695
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,749
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
263B / 306S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $2,006
Month
$-23
Vol: $2,006
All Time
$-695
Vol: $115,749
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
32W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-695
Win Rate
27%
32W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-26
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $263 (0.3787920236124109% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$90
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$89
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$83
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$80
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$67
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$56
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$40
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-381
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-231
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$-111
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-106
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$-98
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-75
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$-61
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$-57
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.308
Sortino
-0.312
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
25.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 682s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)27.4%
Sessions
#127/16/2026, 7:05:32 AM7 trades$1,8140 min
10/6/2026, 2:14:36 PM18 trades$1,8103 min
5/13/2026, 6:19:57 AM10 trades$8560 min
2/10/2026, 12:40:49 PM3 trades$5956 min
6/29/2026, 7:34:20 AM5 trades$5441 min
6/26/2026, 9:42:26 PM10 trades$4771 min
2/10/2026, 8:41:15 AM1 trades$4280 min
6/7/2026, 1:46:24 PM5 trades$3710 min
7/15/2026, 2:09:47 PM4 trades$3661 min
2/16/2026, 7:21:59 AM6 trades$3289 min
2/16/2026, 7:37:35 AM2 trades$3201 min
2/10/2026, 2:52:47 PM1 trades$2530 min
2/7/2026, 1:36:47 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/10/2026, 8:06:15 AM4 trades$2435 min
2/7/2026, 9:09:17 AM4 trades$2352 min
7/16/2026, 6:39:32 AM2 trades$2230 min
7/15/2026, 7:15:50 AM2 trades$2190 min
2/2/2026, 2:30:06 PM3 trades$2172 min
2/10/2026, 2:45:51 PM1 trades$2160 min
2/2/2026, 1:17:40 PM4 trades$2155 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-01
02-07
02-13
02-21
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M30.8 / H27.4