Polydata

@megaforest

#28,85788

0xe172d9e17386f9b4298e2e6eaf8c66d8a8b4e8e0

~47d· 38 markets · 926 tradesVol: $439,3882026-07-31 13:15:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (25/33)20/20
3.19x (win $34,981 / loss $10,956)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.02515/15
Sortino 11.64110/10
$+0.0688 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 1129 (33 markets)6.9/10
18/24 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($7,844 / $24,891)7.7/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+4,245
DCA Master
Avg 22.4 entries/market
Whale
$349,184 invested
Consistent
18/24 profitable days
High Roller
$4,783/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#5,470$6,208Vol: $336,068
📈 ECONOMICS#676,379$-771Vol: $85,000
💰 FINANCE#653,031$-1,189Vol: $18,120
SPORTS#1,149,816$-3Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,245
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$439,388
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
202B / 724S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$482
Vol: $0
Week
$933
Vol: $25,393
Month
$652
Vol: $127,671
All Time
$4,245
Vol: $439,388

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
76%
25W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$4,245
Win Rate
76%
25W / 8L
Profit Factor
3.19x
Avg Win
$1,399
Avg Loss
$-1,826

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,164 (5.457242344426592% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15,425
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,991
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$3,748
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2,403
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2,286
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2,230
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1,201
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,031
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$563
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$403

Top Losers

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-7,844
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-1,305
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-883
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$-877
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-25
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.258
Sortino
0.335
HHI
774
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
57.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 572s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)92.6%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 11:17:02 AM11 trades$88,0562 min
6/3/2026, 5:03:52 AM39 trades$25,3891 min
6/24/2026, 9:42:28 PM4 trades$23,6500 min
6/17/2026, 3:53:31 AM24 trades$21,6191 min
6/19/2026, 8:28:34 AM26 trades$21,4380 min
6/5/2026, 12:28:39 AM40 trades$20,7130 min
5/22/2026, 3:44:14 AM5 trades$14,3400 min
7/17/2026, 12:03:25 AM8 trades$14,3070 min
6/25/2026, 1:27:01 AM7 trades$12,8550 min
7/3/2026, 2:23:04 AM4 trades$11,6391 min
6/5/2026, 1:44:58 AM10 trades$11,0450 min
7/29/2026, 1:49:33 AM6 trades$10,9901 min
6/5/2026, 2:08:07 AM9 trades$10,4473 min
6/2/2026, 10:57:16 AM18 trades$10,1986 min
6/26/2026, 11:13:52 AM4 trades$9,5570 min
7/29/2026, 10:06:42 AM8 trades$8,5371 min
7/11/2026, 1:07:22 PM15 trades$8,4841 min
7/29/2026, 2:42:08 AM11 trades$8,1131 min
6/26/2026, 7:01:16 AM9 trades$8,0410 min
6/2/2026, 8:56:12 AM5 trades$7,1640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
06-04
06-12
06-21
06-27
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M7.4 / H92.6