@roypaj
#200,064420xe19bae49f7c6f0f38e0b2fbb32f33249570a0c89
~34d· 29 markets · 163 tradesVol: $10,2522026-10-06 21:50:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
32% (9/28)1.1/20
1.22x (win $747 / loss $613)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.96215/15
Sortino 1.43710/10
$+0.0456 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 1303 (28 markets)6/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 275% of peak ($371 / $135)0/10
Badges
1Profitable
PnL $+79
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#232,748$4Vol: $6,593
📈 ECONOMICS#6,803$277Vol: $2,140
💰 FINANCE#598,454$-17Vol: $744
₿ CRYPTO#1,524,184$-118Vol: $740
⚽ SPORTS#1,379,460$-11Vol: $35
Overview
#1Net PnL
$135
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,252
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
66B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$-18
Vol: $0
Week
$-37
Vol: $946
Month
$211
Vol: $1,964
All Time
$135
Vol: $10,252
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
32%
9W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$79
Win Rate
32%
9W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-36
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $626 (7.950457317073171% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$375
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$191
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$60
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$50
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$47
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$18
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$5
Delhi Capitals vs. Rajasthan Royals$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$0
Top Losers
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$-195
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-120
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-88
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$-78
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-23
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?$-12
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-8
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$-7
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.049
Sortino
0.058
HHI
1817
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
81.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)51.5%
Sessions
#125/4/2026, 3:36:18 PM30 trades$1,1276 min
9/15/2026, 9:24:09 AM10 trades$5303 min
5/14/2026, 3:55:40 PM7 trades$4670 min
4/29/2026, 5:00:14 PM12 trades$3656 min
9/9/2026, 5:25:13 PM9 trades$2840 min
5/4/2026, 9:54:10 AM2 trades$2220 min
5/13/2026, 5:00:38 PM7 trades$1873 min
5/19/2026, 9:42:18 AM3 trades$1740 min
5/5/2025, 12:20:28 PM1 trades$1700 min
5/16/2026, 12:34:11 PM4 trades$1593 min
4/30/2026, 2:45:48 AM4 trades$1480 min
5/1/2025, 9:42:49 AM2 trades$1401 min
5/14/2026, 4:14:37 PM5 trades$1390 min
5/20/2025, 5:50:15 AM2 trades$1382 min
9/9/2026, 3:37:55 PM4 trades$1250 min
9/9/2026, 3:45:52 PM5 trades$1250 min
4/26/2025, 4:22:53 PM2 trades$1091 min
5/18/2025, 6:43:38 AM2 trades$1051 min
5/18/2025, 8:05:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/18/2025, 8:15:33 PM1 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-20
05-04
05-26
11-17
05-04
05-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M31.8 / H51.5