@tja
#1,470800xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426
~428d· 1337 markets · 14656 tradesVol: $2,644,9512026-08-05 15:52:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (949/1297)20/20
1.68x (win $225,210 / loss $134,336)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.45315/15
Sortino 1.93210/10
$+0.0835 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 326 (1297 markets)10/10
271/349 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($67,795 / $90,874)0/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+135,046
DCA Master
Avg 12.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,088,475 invested
Consistent
271/349 profitable days
High Roller
$1,965/day
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#908$55,604Vol: $1,130,332
₿ CRYPTO#1,210$35,050Vol: $479,213
💰 FINANCE#352$15,233Vol: $320,599
🎭 CULTURE#1,135$7,318Vol: $217,376
💻 TECH#310$6,357Vol: $204,586
📈 ECONOMICS#752$7,804Vol: $198,117
📢 MENTIONS#246$7,617Vol: $79,377
⚽ SPORTS#1,803,556$-573Vol: $4,166
🌤️ WEATHER#2,337$571Vol: $1,869
Overview
#1Net PnL
$135,046
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,644,951
Total Redeem
$64,037
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1337
total markets
Trades
10147B / 4509S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~428d
Periods
#2Today
$-221
Vol: $8,474
Week
$17,906
Vol: $39,928
Month
$16,619
Vol: $40,248
All Time
$135,046
Vol: $2,644,951
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
949W / 348L events
Realized PnL
$135,046
Win Rate
73%
949W / 348L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$237
Avg Loss
$-392
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52,886 (0.39161520567304464% of PnL)
Top Winners
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$35,791
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9,129
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$7,966
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$6,274
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6,238
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$5,691
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5,036
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$4,776
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$3,342
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?$2,804
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-43,273
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-17,286
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-9,801
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-6,720
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-6,106
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,368
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-2,245
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,576
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?$-1,460
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$-1,379
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.049
HHI
439
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
29.3%
Half-Kelly
14.7%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
34.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.3
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 334s — normal for humanCV 4.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)57.5%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 11:53:14 AM56 trades$28,71317 min
6/3/2026, 5:42:52 PM3 trades$27,8880 min
6/2/2026, 1:02:41 PM17 trades$24,2804 min
3/7/2026, 12:02:47 AM5 trades$18,4551 min
3/7/2026, 12:43:49 AM29 trades$17,5763 min
4/7/2026, 1:39:09 PM23 trades$17,5060 min
5/19/2026, 5:35:19 PM29 trades$12,9070 min
8/4/2026, 3:22:03 PM20 trades$12,0226 min
6/1/2026, 12:00:40 PM54 trades$11,40711 min
7/9/2026, 2:19:07 PM90 trades$10,3490 min
3/31/2026, 12:46:21 PM9 trades$9,5286 min
3/5/2026, 6:36:41 PM22 trades$8,95410 min
3/1/2026, 1:41:31 AM1 trades$8,5700 min
4/21/2026, 1:22:36 PM28 trades$7,9552 min
5/31/2026, 3:20:12 PM16 trades$7,8553 min
4/6/2026, 10:14:41 PM1 trades$6,9510 min
4/7/2026, 1:27:35 PM16 trades$6,4712 min
5/17/2026, 12:26:47 AM7 trades$6,3480 min
5/10/2026, 6:14:43 AM20 trades$5,8541 min
1/20/2026, 1:01:18 PM2 trades$5,8160 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
07-09
09-24
11-25
02-20
05-02
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M23.3 / H57.5