@61sfds

#1,273,95349

0xe20afab92a813e87a5e54b5afeca24e6d77bd74f

~41d· 153 markets · 3759 tradesVol: $60,6912026-08-02 04:12:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (14/106)0/20
1.83x (win $4,248 / loss $2,325)12.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.92515/15
Sortino 5.75210/10
$+0.5544 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2278 (106 markets)1.1/10
6/29 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($1,647 / $1,934)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,134,785$-5Vol: $26,855
⚽ SPORTS#1,264,534$-7Vol: $11,766
📈 ECONOMICS#62,986$4Vol: $7,275
🌤️ WEATHER#193,327$-1Vol: $2,514
🎭 CULTURE#113,428$3Vol: $2,371
💰 FINANCE#44,349$16Vol: $2,292
₿ CRYPTO#1,203,443$-14Vol: $995
💻 TECH#28,864$3Vol: $714
📢 MENTIONS#73,314$-0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,691
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
3430B / 329S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $74
Week
$-4
Vol: $74
Month
$-2
Vol: $4,009
All Time
$-1
Vol: $60,691

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
14W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
13%
14W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.83x
Avg Win
$303
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,038 (4437.758241758242% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$3,287
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$689
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$63
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$57
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$42
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?$33
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$25
Will KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?$17
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?$8

Top Losers

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-1,095
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-239
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$-153
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$-126
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$-81
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?$-50
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?$-40
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-34
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-33
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.284
HHI
1121
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.685
Kelly %
6.1%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
50%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 223s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 11:48:32 AM6 trades$7493 min
6/21/2026, 5:28:08 AM5 trades$1036 min
6/21/2026, 1:56:19 AM17 trades$877 min
7/4/2026, 12:37:47 AM12 trades$7418 min
7/5/2026, 11:37:40 AM9 trades$6110 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:05 PM9 trades$598 min
6/21/2026, 4:56:29 AM24 trades$5217 min
6/17/2026, 9:56:31 PM27 trades$4836 min
6/16/2026, 4:30:38 PM16 trades$478 min
6/19/2026, 10:58:28 PM30 trades$4625 min
6/26/2026, 10:07:55 PM2 trades$410 min
6/17/2026, 2:53:10 PM20 trades$4111 min
6/18/2026, 5:02:41 AM20 trades$4032 min
6/21/2026, 12:51:38 AM32 trades$4050 min
6/16/2026, 11:41:58 PM8 trades$357 min
6/19/2026, 12:25:23 PM11 trades$333 min
6/17/2026, 4:59:41 PM13 trades$3215 min
6/22/2026, 9:47:46 PM3 trades$305 min
6/29/2026, 2:56:47 AM2 trades$300 min
7/8/2026, 1:55:37 AM2 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-20
06-24
06-28
07-02
07-06
07-11
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.6 / M10.1 / H52.3