cashllio

@cashllio

#116,61673

0xe221d23b7ee9bf426a3862b0a1c8608750e41505

~98d· 137 markets · 357 tradesVol: $62,754 @user14user973292026-08-05 17:28:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (114/135)20/20
1.44x (win $665 / loss $462)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.89015/15
Sortino 1.05510/10
$+0.0082 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 446 (135 markets)10/10
69/82 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($404 / $502)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+495
Consistent
69/82 profitable days
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#71,441$81Vol: $25,063
CRYPTO#51,677$332Vol: $20,282
🌤️ WEATHER#10,555$48Vol: $10,942
💰 FINANCE#35,695$26Vol: $3,638
SPORTS#298,039$8Vol: $1,389
💻 TECH#218,872$-5Vol: $389
🎭 CULTURE#723,464$-19Vol: $208
📈 ECONOMICS#84,758$2Vol: $106
📢 MENTIONS#41,236$1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,754
Total Redeem
$712
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
213B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $557
Month
$2
Vol: $557
All Time
$495
Vol: $62,754

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
114W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$495
Win Rate
84%
114W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $333 (0.6719702782376934% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?$232
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$54
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?$47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$24
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$14

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-404
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-10
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-9
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$-6
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$-6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$-5
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.019
HHI
462
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
41.9%
Half-Kelly
20.9%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
39%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 280s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)90.6%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2025, 2:48:26 PM1 trades$2,4880 min
5/30/2026, 3:44:14 AM2 trades$2,1130 min
5/28/2026, 12:30:43 PM7 trades$2,1100 min
11/3/2024, 11:47:14 AM17 trades$1,9642 min
7/29/2026, 9:18:23 AM15 trades$1,6061 min
7/16/2026, 2:53:43 AM2 trades$1,5930 min
5/11/2026, 2:33:51 AM3 trades$1,5170 min
11/7/2024, 10:10:05 AM1 trades$1,0910 min
4/28/2026, 12:58:24 PM6 trades$1,0000 min
11/13/2024, 10:53:35 PM1 trades$9480 min
2/24/2025, 3:11:06 PM2 trades$8990 min
2/25/2025, 2:29:38 AM1 trades$7460 min
1/31/2026, 6:27:28 AM8 trades$6358 min
5/15/2026, 6:49:06 AM24 trades$6358 min
5/16/2026, 3:41:33 AM2 trades$6280 min
2/10/2026, 5:46:53 AM1 trades$5250 min
2/2/2026, 1:42:58 AM1 trades$4500 min
3/15/2026, 12:43:15 PM3 trades$4204 min
6/12/2026, 10:46:58 AM2 trades$4150 min
4/28/2026, 12:37:44 PM2 trades$4043 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
02-25
05-13
09-12
12-11
04-01
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M1.9 / H90.6