MateisLostDog

@MateisLostDog

#3,26563

0xe274eed0e6e2c168094856a85c07efc747d8ee86

~276d· 898 markets · 9306 tradesVol: $2,970,6362026-09-27 13:05:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (292/886)1.5/20
1.49x (win $169,632 / loss $113,744)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.08615/15
Sortino 6.78010/10
$+0.2334 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 236 (886 markets)10/10
68/218 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($27,353 / $83,241)7.4/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+53,710
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$239,404 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#667$73,938Vol: $1,328,691
₿ CRYPTO#1,725,295$-19,216Vol: $1,155,711
📈 ECONOMICS#692,954$-755Vol: $208,294
🎭 CULTURE#2,567$2,613Vol: $82,228
📢 MENTIONS#181,163$-2,024Vol: $61,777
⚽ SPORTS#1,904,636$-2,379Vol: $36,622
🌤️ WEATHER#257,400$-17Vol: $892
💻 TECH#233,389$-8Vol: $828

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$53,710
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,970,636
Total Redeem
$327
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
898
total markets
Trades
6666B / 2640S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~276d

Periods

#2
Today
$-30
Vol: $0
Week
$-146
Vol: $32,628
Month
$-414
Vol: $69,187
All Time
$53,710
Vol: $2,970,636

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
292W / 594L events
Realized PnL
$53,710
Win Rate
33%
292W / 594L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$581
Avg Loss
$-191

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75,309 (1.4021400535879158% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$58,212
Trump wins every swing state?$10,989
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5PM ET$6,108
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$4,321
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$3,882
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$3,711
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?$3,686
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$3,616
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?$3,320
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$2,638

Top Losers

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$-4,423
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$-3,317
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$-3,228
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?$-2,785
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$-2,596
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2,290
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?$-2,250
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?$-1,284
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?$-1,211
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?$-1,180

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.368
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.237
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 3.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)50.4%
High (>55c)2.8%

Sessions

#12
1/20/2025, 12:35:55 PM5 trades$62,5061 min
11/6/2024, 12:58:51 AM2 trades$12,5921 min
6/1/2025, 9:10:39 PM6 trades$9,2802 min
7/19/2025, 10:00:50 PM3 trades$6,6191 min
11/5/2024, 11:05:17 PM1 trades$5,6310 min
1/20/2025, 9:04:03 AM5 trades$4,8397 min
12/6/2024, 4:40:06 PM1 trades$4,3580 min
8/23/2024, 7:20:37 PM3 trades$3,9984 min
6/9/2025, 7:47:07 PM4 trades$3,8630 min
1/24/2025, 3:42:37 AM5 trades$3,7125 min
4/9/2025, 6:11:53 PM17 trades$3,6241 min
9/22/2026, 2:04:58 PM4 trades$3,4480 min
12/6/2024, 1:33:16 PM8 trades$3,4294 min
9/22/2026, 3:35:18 PM35 trades$3,3678 min
12/12/2024, 8:16:05 PM1 trades$3,3170 min
11/6/2024, 12:23:31 AM2 trades$3,1645 min
9/30/2024, 6:39:05 PM1 trades$3,1440 min
1/23/2025, 9:26:15 PM13 trades$3,0368 min
12/28/2025, 8:59:31 PM60 trades$2,96030 min
11/27/2024, 9:45:21 PM2 trades$2,9560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-28
10-06
02-07
06-01
08-19
12-23
09-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 556 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M50.4 / H2.8