aeimsy

@aeimsy

#177,15725

0xe2b65a3924da984c0e2b18a0ad544e0f83e39ff5

~48d· 494 markets · 1378 tradesVol: $187,1912026-09-10 09:19:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (270/492)12.4/20
0.87x (win $3,320 / loss $3,815)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6060/15
Sortino -2.5500/10
$-0.0286 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 196 (492 markets)10/10
15/43 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($1,001 / $467)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+160
Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#10,558$334Vol: $147,754
CRYPTO#1,520,316$-112Vol: $36,889
SPORTS#984,717$-1Vol: $2,077
📈 ECONOMICS#609,592$-10Vol: $214
🏛️ POLITICS#476,756$0Vol: $208
💰 FINANCE#575,225$-9Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$187,191
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
494
total markets
Trades
811B / 567S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $879
Week
$34
Vol: $12,757
Month
$69
Vol: $14,588
All Time
$201
Vol: $187,191

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
270W / 222L events
Realized PnL
$160
Win Rate
55%
270W / 222L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $877 (5.467772098242115% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$584
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$147
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$122
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$112
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$110
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$105
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$82
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$80

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$-301
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-177
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$-155
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-128
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-124
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-77

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
163
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)26.1%

Sessions

#12
9/8/2026, 11:59:00 PM23 trades$9394 min
3/31/2026, 3:36:43 PM7 trades$7680 min
3/9/2026, 10:01:53 AM7 trades$67211 min
2/28/2026, 6:27:51 PM3 trades$6334 min
2/20/2026, 1:42:30 PM2 trades$6291 min
3/30/2026, 8:59:30 AM1 trades$5610 min
3/30/2026, 1:21:46 AM2 trades$5390 min
3/30/2026, 7:46:53 PM1 trades$5330 min
3/1/2026, 6:23:45 AM2 trades$5132 min
3/30/2026, 2:56:47 PM1 trades$5060 min
3/31/2026, 4:15:31 AM1 trades$5020 min
3/31/2026, 5:26:15 AM1 trades$5020 min
3/31/2026, 7:57:21 AM1 trades$5020 min
3/2/2026, 5:58:43 AM13 trades$46420 min
3/29/2026, 6:08:48 PM1 trades$4590 min
2/24/2026, 8:52:30 AM6 trades$4426 min
3/20/2026, 3:55:55 AM4 trades$4105 min
3/29/2026, 6:37:58 PM1 trades$4070 min
2/24/2026, 8:05:18 AM5 trades$4069 min
3/18/2026, 7:42:03 AM3 trades$3816 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-21
02-28
03-08
03-20
04-07
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.4 / M45.5 / H26.1