@bananabreakfast

#33,24619

0xe33825c663c81ad37d7e2f57ebff26799a0064ad

~54d· 68 markets · 608 tradesVol: $51,1792026-08-04 19:48:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (19/48)4.8/20
0.53x (win $3,392 / loss $6,418)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0610/15
Sortino -3.2590/10
$-0.1095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 997 (48 markets)7.5/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 925% of peak ($3,618 / $391)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+3,572
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
💻 TECH#565$3,195Vol: $37,591
🏛️ POLITICS#58,714$118Vol: $5,829
💰 FINANCE#10,335$267Vol: $3,296
🎭 CULTURE#80,017$7Vol: $2,045
🌤️ WEATHER#12,972$32Vol: $1,300
📈 ECONOMICS#11,390$117Vol: $600
📢 MENTIONS#167,838$-164Vol: $500
⚽ SPORTS#407,193$2Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,572
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,179
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
295B / 313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$11
Vol: $100
Month
$10
Vol: $100
All Time
$3,572
Vol: $51,179

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
19W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$3,572
Win Rate
40%
19W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$179
Avg Loss
$-257

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,170 (0.6073253141559848% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$865
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$858
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$446
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$258
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$204
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$201
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$152
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$104
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$104
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$84

Top Losers

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$-2,333
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,997
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-1,353
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-164
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 13?$-92
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$-70
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 14?$-66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-66
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-61
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.156
Sortino
-0.124
HHI
734
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.136
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
54.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 483s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)69.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 11:02:00 PM15 trades$3,2621 min
6/5/2026, 3:25:31 PM9 trades$2,4571 min
6/9/2026, 4:11:03 AM96 trades$1,34810 min
6/5/2026, 3:34:39 PM8 trades$1,1481 min
5/28/2026, 7:46:13 PM23 trades$1,0855 min
6/1/2026, 2:57:14 PM11 trades$9865 min
2/17/2026, 4:55:43 AM1 trades$8600 min
2/16/2026, 9:02:15 AM1 trades$8530 min
6/4/2026, 2:58:04 AM13 trades$8514 min
5/27/2026, 9:07:15 PM6 trades$8090 min
6/4/2026, 5:44:54 PM3 trades$7850 min
5/28/2026, 8:19:35 PM11 trades$7491 min
6/9/2026, 4:30:18 AM1 trades$7200 min
6/10/2026, 5:31:27 AM12 trades$6961 min
6/2/2026, 2:59:14 PM2 trades$6400 min
6/5/2026, 2:21:51 AM1 trades$6160 min
6/10/2026, 5:43:57 AM6 trades$5901 min
5/22/2026, 8:44:55 AM1 trades$5680 min
6/6/2026, 6:30:18 AM1 trades$5530 min
6/8/2026, 7:54:09 PM11 trades$5520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-24
04-27
05-23
06-04
06-09
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M20.3 / H69.5