@0xe38ee6bef3ea40daac3e3adc2fca23ba456850c8

18

0xe38ee6bef3ea40daac3e3adc2fca23ba456850c8

~145d· 207 markets · 2253 trades2026-08-02 05:19:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (70/180)4.4/20
0.35x (win $28,501 / loss $81,400)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2130/15
Sortino -4.2200/10
$-0.2574 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 461 (180 markets)10/10
41/91 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 426888% of peak ($54,684 / $13)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$205,533 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,852$-7,580Vol: $299,478
CRYPTO#1,633,830$-1,548Vol: $85,982
💰 FINANCE#931$5,814Vol: $71,944
💻 TECH#1,597$816Vol: $23,031

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$205,533
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
207
total markets
Trades
1273B / 980S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9,142
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
70W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$-9,142
Win Rate
39%
70W / 110L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$407
Avg Loss
$-814

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,071 (0.8828796898553197% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$2,957
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2,558
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$2,556
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2,364
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,899
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,795
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1,781
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1,659
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,405
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1,155

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-16,364
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-12,861
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-9,353
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-7,338
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5,068
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-4,285
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,044
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-2,654
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-2,586
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,897

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
471
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
37.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 314s — normal for humanCV 3.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)61.5%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 1:44:40 PM13 trades$12,3270 min
6/15/2026, 9:24:45 AM2 trades$11,2130 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:16 PM6 trades$8,7453 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:01 PM9 trades$8,6790 min
6/18/2026, 8:44:26 PM10 trades$8,4550 min
6/1/2026, 12:03:24 PM17 trades$7,7529 min
6/2/2026, 10:32:53 AM2 trades$7,0000 min
4/30/2026, 2:09:56 PM1 trades$5,4320 min
7/31/2026, 4:00:03 PM3 trades$5,3830 min
6/14/2026, 10:15:54 PM7 trades$5,2875 min
6/17/2026, 9:00:53 AM19 trades$5,1556 min
6/21/2026, 12:33:55 PM10 trades$5,0420 min
4/7/2026, 2:36:49 PM12 trades$5,0074 min
6/15/2026, 2:29:43 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/1/2026, 5:41:30 PM2 trades$4,9950 min
3/29/2026, 12:04:58 PM1 trades$4,9290 min
3/31/2026, 7:26:57 AM1 trades$4,8230 min
6/21/2026, 2:11:34 PM35 trades$4,58715 min
7/7/2026, 12:06:28 PM11 trades$4,4116 min
6/19/2026, 12:34:10 AM14 trades$4,3164 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
03-06
04-23
05-22
06-21
07-08
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 162 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M22.1 / H61.5