@oliviertwis

#530,98585

0xe4e8ae2ab734477c9bc84ba3085f0b5d655eb071

~37d· 30 markets · 107 tradesVol: $128,277 @olivier629295252026-10-03 02:38:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (22/25)20/20
1153.26x (win $58 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 14.27915/15
Sortino 5050.07110/10
$+0.0028 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1472 (25 markets)5.1/10
17/19 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $58)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+99
Consistent
17/19 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,342,902$-31Vol: $121,693
🏛️ POLITICS#109,771$33Vol: $6,054
💰 FINANCE#97,660$3Vol: $420
🎭 CULTURE#138,980$2Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,277
Total Redeem
$916
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
59B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Week
$-529
Vol: $0
Month
$-525
Vol: $0
All Time
$6
Vol: $128,277

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
22W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$99
Win Rate
88%
22W / 3L
Profit Factor
1153.2x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31 (0.3154376012965964% of PnL)

Top Winners

Netanyahu out by June 30?$17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7
Trump out as President by July 31?$7
Trump out as President by March 31?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 8?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 20?$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?$3
Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?$2
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.728
Sortino
inf
HHI
1152
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
73.6%
Half-Kelly
36.8%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
69.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 10:51:43 PM1 trades$3,7240 min
7/19/2026, 9:41:30 AM4 trades$3,4247 min
7/4/2026, 7:48:05 PM2 trades$3,0600 min
8/7/2026, 9:57:52 AM3 trades$2,9972 min
7/29/2026, 1:04:05 PM6 trades$2,4301 min
7/27/2026, 4:40:19 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
8/7/2026, 8:14:16 AM1 trades$6430 min
4/23/2026, 8:21:38 AM2 trades$6110 min
5/29/2026, 8:43:14 AM7 trades$4981 min
7/19/2026, 9:54:24 AM1 trades$3620 min
4/21/2026, 6:06:28 PM2 trades$3050 min
7/26/2026, 4:30:42 PM6 trades$2501 min
7/22/2026, 4:25:01 PM2 trades$1990 min
3/8/2026, 1:34:25 PM3 trades$1982 min
3/5/2026, 11:19:27 AM1 trades$1980 min
7/23/2026, 4:21:34 PM3 trades$1870 min
6/3/2026, 6:53:45 AM2 trades$1540 min
6/18/2026, 12:07:17 PM11 trades$1260 min
7/7/2026, 11:58:52 PM1 trades$1070 min
3/17/2026, 3:42:41 PM1 trades$1020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
03-05
03-17
05-29
07-04
07-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100