@WharfMan

#3,071,70828

0xe53312c6c15af508e0c31e2cfadbefddd399ab29

~363d· 575 markets · 7898 tradesVol: $3,546,6772026-08-04 20:40:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (288/557)10.9/20
0.94x (win $326,401 / loss $347,889)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4710/15
Sortino -0.6840/10
$-0.0174 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 86 (557 markets)10/10
116/230 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 5446% of peak ($71,127 / $1,306)0/10

Badges

8
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 15.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,238,119 invested
High Roller
$1,657/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#39,754$248Vol: $1,018,618
CRYPTO#1,675,739$-25,811Vol: $685,926
SPORTS#1,810,714$-678Vol: $682,503
📈 ECONOMICS#163$44,397Vol: $511,433
🎭 CULTURE#816,346$-7,155Vol: $338,287
💰 FINANCE#658,585$-24,391Vol: $126,431
🌤️ WEATHER#299,298$-7,462Vol: $59,648
💻 TECH#258,267$-1,872Vol: $14,780
📢 MENTIONS#2,286$478Vol: $1,696

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47,441
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,546,677
Total Redeem
$35,570
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
575
total markets
Trades
7531B / 367S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~363d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,084
Vol: $6,897
Week
$1,393
Vol: $8,106
Month
$1,830
Vol: $8,106
All Time
$-47,441
Vol: $3,546,677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
288W / 268L events
Realized PnL
$-47,441
Win Rate
52%
288W / 268L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$1,133
Avg Loss
$-1,293

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,353 (0.9770557209773316% of PnL)

Top Winners

US recession in 2025?$17,097
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$16,763
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$12,492
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9,124
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$9,083
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$8,964
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$8,663
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?$7,582
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$6,172
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?$5,801

Top Losers

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-14,634
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-13,157
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-9,690
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$-9,380
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-8,409
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,010
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$-6,978
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-6,790
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$-6,660
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$-6,400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.033
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.6m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.7
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.8%
High (>55c)44%

Sessions

#12
12/8/2025, 12:16:13 PM1 trades$13,3780 min
12/10/2025, 2:12:46 PM13 trades$12,3243 min
5/8/2025, 11:00:54 PM2 trades$12,0840 min
7/21/2026, 9:18:57 AM4 trades$11,1681 min
9/17/2025, 12:53:54 PM1 trades$9,7800 min
4/7/2026, 10:10:07 PM2 trades$9,5000 min
2/28/2026, 1:59:31 PM15 trades$9,03014 min
2/4/2025, 1:00:18 PM2 trades$6,7810 min
1/31/2025, 5:53:02 PM3 trades$6,7500 min
2/12/2026, 11:14:45 AM1 trades$6,6430 min
6/22/2026, 7:50:11 PM4 trades$6,3921 min
4/2/2025, 10:08:05 PM2 trades$6,3201 min
2/28/2026, 1:49:05 PM8 trades$6,1503 min
2/4/2025, 5:04:21 PM2 trades$6,0190 min
10/13/2025, 2:24:29 PM7 trades$5,9324 min
1/30/2026, 7:35:32 AM32 trades$5,8706 min
10/27/2025, 11:12:35 AM2 trades$5,8120 min
1/15/2026, 7:05:02 PM10 trades$5,7949 min
8/27/2025, 12:00:05 PM3 trades$5,7290 min
1/5/2026, 6:50:05 PM3 trades$5,6404 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-19
02-10
10-09
01-07
03-02
05-30
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 517 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M33.8 / H44