hobo69

@hobo69

#3,073,51936

0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec

~269d· 2418 markets · 13774 tradesVol: $4,424,055 @gr8oncrypto2026-08-05 02:39:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (1808/2406)20/20
0.69x (win $320,794 / loss $465,545)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3350/15
Sortino -1.4720/10
$-0.0714 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 198 (2406 markets)10/10
127/240 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 469% of peak ($184,097 / $39,295)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Whale
$2,028,504 invested
High Roller
$4,538/day
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,883,276$-24,914Vol: $1,492,641
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,068$-30,861Vol: $1,381,135
💰 FINANCE#657,559$-3,917Vol: $321,335
CRYPTO#1,623,530$-1,117Vol: $154,862
📈 ECONOMICS#944$5,793Vol: $111,502
🎭 CULTURE#815,579$-4,104Vol: $91,714
🌤️ WEATHER#296,283$-638Vol: $38,244
💻 TECH#9,133$44Vol: $800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-77,100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,424,055
Total Redeem
$14,460
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2418
total markets
Trades
11635B / 2139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~269d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-331
Vol: $80,609
Month
$-870
Vol: $125,305
All Time
$-77,100
Vol: $4,424,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
1808W / 598L events
Realized PnL
$-77,100
Win Rate
75%
1808W / 598L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$177
Avg Loss
$-782

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87,321 (1.1325783182160833% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$37,898
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$26,165
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$23,258
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$12,672
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$8,234
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5,950
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5,336
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$4,480
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3,940
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$3,598

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-79,391
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-46,011
Spurs vs. Knicks$-36,034
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$-34,888
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-18,084
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-14,796
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-14,025
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-12,549
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-9,270
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-8,595

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
352
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 3.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency5.4 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)84.6%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 3:05:55 AM1 trades$44,4450 min
6/5/2026, 7:25:28 PM55 trades$31,58230 min
7/2/2026, 8:13:19 AM8 trades$28,8683 min
6/11/2026, 2:54:40 AM86 trades$28,25539 min
5/2/2026, 8:01:04 PM2 trades$27,9720 min
5/17/2026, 5:57:06 AM2 trades$21,8400 min
5/15/2026, 6:52:57 PM13 trades$19,2248 min
6/5/2026, 3:56:45 PM24 trades$18,7206 min
6/27/2026, 10:24:14 AM12 trades$15,6992 min
6/28/2026, 6:18:26 AM3 trades$13,7100 min
5/5/2026, 4:59:24 AM50 trades$13,35019 min
5/12/2026, 5:10:00 AM34 trades$10,05611 min
4/3/2026, 3:11:05 PM1 trades$9,8400 min
3/4/2026, 5:24:55 AM1 trades$9,7880 min
5/9/2026, 9:30:47 AM64 trades$8,91627 min
5/5/2026, 2:16:26 PM6 trades$8,7958 min
6/5/2026, 9:26:01 AM46 trades$8,61016 min
5/4/2026, 4:04:34 PM11 trades$8,42818 min
3/4/2026, 8:11:51 AM2 trades$8,0001 min
6/27/2026, 10:32:50 AM7 trades$7,6805 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
12-06
01-15
02-26
05-02
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M10.3 / H84.6