@bullpenkeep

#2,778,60517

0xe702f385b8880b7aa37ec82fb6979a40d70eb6c1

~38d· 80 markets · 1003 tradesVol: $11,8802026-08-26 09:14:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (22/56)4.6/20
0.58x (win $414 / loss $716)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5650/15
Sortino -4.6750/10
$-0.0596 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 917 (56 markets)7.9/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 494% of peak ($380 / $77)0/10

Badges

2
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,736,508$-163Vol: $5,020
🏛️ POLITICS#1,418,887$-27Vol: $3,325
💰 FINANCE#609,359$-26Vol: $1,643
CRYPTO#1,197,420$-12Vol: $898
🎭 CULTURE#701,655$-11Vol: $777
💻 TECH#219,387$-4Vol: $120
📈 ECONOMICS#182,092$0Vol: $36
📢 MENTIONS#77,045$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-245
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,880
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
744B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-245
Vol: $11,880

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
22W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-245
Win Rate
39%
22W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $180 (0.7369861894255127% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$70
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$60
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$50
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$35
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$30
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$20
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?$18
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?$17

Top Losers

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-163
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-117
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys$-69
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Maria$-64
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz$-44
Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-29
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$-22
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?$-22
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
1031
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
63.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 434s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.6%
High (>55c)65.9%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 2:26:32 PM7 trades$6975 min
5/26/2026, 12:00:27 AM5 trades$3214 min
6/22/2026, 1:21:10 PM24 trades$28114 min
5/18/2026, 7:23:24 PM20 trades$1937 min
5/19/2026, 1:11:06 PM49 trades$1636 min
6/10/2026, 3:13:28 PM13 trades$1141 min
5/9/2026, 5:52:38 PM8 trades$10812 min
5/18/2026, 1:02:39 PM16 trades$1081 min
5/27/2026, 8:28:10 PM2 trades$870 min
5/10/2026, 5:13:18 PM6 trades$843 min
6/19/2026, 8:52:46 AM14 trades$803 min
6/19/2026, 10:00:37 AM17 trades$753 min
5/12/2026, 9:07:00 AM7 trades$747 min
6/9/2026, 1:04:30 PM14 trades$726 min
5/12/2026, 8:54:17 AM7 trades$706 min
6/12/2026, 9:04:19 AM7 trades$670 min
6/10/2026, 3:04:31 PM6 trades$632 min
6/15/2026, 9:21:49 PM3 trades$630 min
5/11/2026, 6:19:40 PM2 trades$620 min
6/4/2026, 8:35:48 AM33 trades$6130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-15
05-19
05-26
06-09
06-12
06-16
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M20.6 / H65.9