@TemuOracle

#242,58182

0xe7a05852cd33e6959ddd2fdaab0a284ab37869ae

~124d· 248 markets · 1067 tradesVol: $19,4552026-09-08 22:04:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (189/242)20/20
1.44x (win $755 / loss $525)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.34915/15
Sortino 3.66010/10
$+0.0394 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 115 (242 markets)10/10
73/98 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($116 / $320)6.7/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+103
Consistent
73/98 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#16,807$20Vol: $11,070
🏛️ POLITICS#64,907$100Vol: $6,343
💰 FINANCE#41,957$19Vol: $1,251
🎭 CULTURE#737,071$-21Vol: $299
💻 TECH#240,708$-14Vol: $250
📈 ECONOMICS#106,485$1Vol: $120
⚽ SPORTS#1,161,732$-4Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,455
Total Redeem
$113
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
592B / 475S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $77
Week
$-16
Vol: $275
Month
$-2
Vol: $1,008
All Time
$102
Vol: $19,455

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
189W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$103
Win Rate
78%
189W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193 (1.8811427457098284% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$100
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$44
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$38
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$36
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?$35
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$33
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$29
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$22

Top Losers

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$-59
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$-48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-34
Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-22
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$-22
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$-20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$-20
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.118
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2707s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)82.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:55:53 PM11 trades$15312 min
5/18/2026, 9:44:58 PM5 trades$1140 min
4/27/2026, 3:49:02 PM6 trades$915 min
4/23/2026, 9:09:18 PM4 trades$882 min
5/13/2026, 9:06:08 PM4 trades$840 min
4/10/2026, 9:20:25 PM5 trades$822 min
7/30/2026, 8:20:15 PM3 trades$700 min
3/21/2026, 6:48:17 PM2 trades$691 min
3/23/2026, 6:15:31 PM1 trades$690 min
4/24/2026, 8:09:48 PM4 trades$681 min
6/23/2026, 2:26:23 PM6 trades$675 min
4/8/2026, 9:48:27 AM3 trades$650 min
4/8/2026, 10:02:01 PM2 trades$643 min
4/11/2026, 6:54:13 PM2 trades$600 min
4/7/2026, 11:20:07 PM2 trades$600 min
5/6/2026, 11:58:38 AM1 trades$600 min
7/23/2026, 12:50:03 AM2 trades$600 min
4/8/2026, 8:40:47 PM4 trades$584 min
4/22/2026, 6:50:26 PM2 trades$570 min
5/3/2026, 7:21:50 PM5 trades$562 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-08
04-26
05-12
06-04
07-09
08-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M10.6 / H82.8