retrogeci.w

@retrogeci.w

#21,86170

0xe7dd05859c2ae1c6060e7d287ae50a625b47a02a

~98d· 110 markets · 1747 tradesVol: $358,8042026-10-08 02:10:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (40/106)3.9/20
3.75x (win $25,530 / loss $6,802)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.46715/15
Sortino 38.86310/10
$+0.1040 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 1188 (106 markets)6.6/10
20/43 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($1,035 / $18,728)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,437
Whale
$180,065 invested
High Roller
$1,072/day
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#1,969$2,021Vol: $127,340
🏛️ POLITICS#8,294$3,427Vol: $122,367
💰 FINANCE#648,147$-144Vol: $7,189
⚽ SPORTS#1,751,684$-140Vol: $3,663
₿ CRYPTO#1,175,471$-11Vol: $96
📢 MENTIONS#142,167$-15Vol: $83

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,057
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$358,804
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
110
total markets
Trades
697B / 1050S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $813
Week
$126
Vol: $21,491
Month
$2,181
Vol: $72,122
All Time
$6,057
Vol: $358,804

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
40W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$4,437
Win Rate
38%
40W / 66L
Profit Factor
3.75x
Avg Win
$638
Avg Loss
$-108

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,440 (3.0294150131522297% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5,976
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4,085
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3,379
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,809
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2,793
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$1,586
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1,070
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$881
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$741
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$678

Top Losers

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-987
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)$-910
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$-703
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-666
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$-573
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$-419
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-358
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-208
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-201
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-197

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.335
Sortino
1.753
HHI
2868
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.4%
Top-5 markets
108.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 409s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.48
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.5%
High (>55c)64.4%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 10:25:15 AM11 trades$18,6801 min
6/7/2026, 5:47:09 PM12 trades$15,4861 min
7/8/2026, 6:53:35 PM7 trades$14,6101 min
9/5/2026, 6:02:21 PM9 trades$13,2281 min
8/11/2026, 6:32:54 AM4 trades$12,8071 min
4/29/2026, 12:54:28 PM21 trades$11,01513 min
5/23/2026, 9:10:56 PM9 trades$8,2573 min
4/30/2026, 6:44:50 PM8 trades$8,2430 min
9/19/2026, 12:46:28 AM11 trades$8,0920 min
8/16/2026, 5:30:55 AM349 trades$8,0460 min
7/22/2026, 12:28:31 AM4 trades$7,8281 min
6/14/2026, 2:37:15 PM21 trades$6,7904 min
5/3/2026, 11:40:40 AM2 trades$6,4030 min
6/11/2026, 5:07:00 PM1 trades$5,4410 min
6/10/2026, 11:16:48 PM1 trades$5,2440 min
6/14/2026, 1:45:45 PM12 trades$4,9787 min
5/3/2026, 6:32:48 PM40 trades$4,6025 min
8/20/2026, 3:52:28 AM4 trades$4,5320 min
5/3/2026, 6:49:44 PM1 trades$4,5120 min
5/1/2026, 12:54:26 AM6 trades$4,4644 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
05-01
05-12
06-04
06-14
07-10
09-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M9.5 / H64.4