@BallerinaCappucina
#2,938,98090xea0d09c4861ab167495cf84af23a026348975057
~64d· 40 markets · 526 tradesVol: $186,3242026-08-04 21:45:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (6/18)1.7/20
0.59x (win $3,468 / loss $5,850)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2320/15
Sortino -4.1770/10
$-0.0899 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1450 (18 markets)5.3/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 336% of peak ($4,500 / $1,339)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#80,810$241Vol: $121,700
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,313$-1,476Vol: $57,299
₿ CRYPTO#79,410$131Vol: $7,326
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$186,324
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
351B / 175S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d
Periods
#2Today
$-23
Vol: $2,043
Week
$-85
Vol: $4,767
Month
$33
Vol: $4,767
All Time
$-1,103
Vol: $186,324
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
6W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-1,103
Win Rate
33%
6W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$578
Avg Loss
$-488
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,418 (3.0988133334542063% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2,030
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$1,242
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$146
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$24
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$24
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$1
Top Losers
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,880
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,772
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-826
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-507
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?$-249
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$-217
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$-108
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?$-81
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?$-49
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.221
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
39%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1295s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.7%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)41.3%
Sessions
#128/4/2026, 6:17:23 PM2 trades$1,5800 min
7/9/2026, 5:09:56 PM21 trades$1,5070 min
6/15/2026, 3:18:43 PM6 trades$1,4041 min
5/8/2026, 7:10:29 PM2 trades$1,2630 min
5/4/2026, 10:15:48 AM11 trades$1,1881 min
8/3/2026, 8:31:53 AM2 trades$9770 min
5/12/2026, 11:52:36 PM12 trades$8913 min
6/29/2026, 9:53:56 PM8 trades$8791 min
5/12/2026, 10:58:35 PM4 trades$8560 min
7/5/2026, 10:47:41 PM6 trades$7951 min
7/12/2026, 4:08:34 PM5 trades$7360 min
7/13/2026, 8:16:05 AM1 trades$6600 min
7/7/2026, 1:20:35 AM1 trades$6600 min
5/12/2026, 1:45:01 PM10 trades$6211 min
5/13/2026, 11:04:34 AM11 trades$6032 min
5/7/2026, 5:46:38 PM4 trades$6010 min
7/5/2026, 5:36:49 PM3 trades$6010 min
5/12/2026, 8:53:25 PM5 trades$5880 min
8/3/2026, 11:30:26 PM1 trades$5800 min
3/24/2026, 1:44:21 PM1 trades$4720 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-11
05-30
06-07
07-07
07-13
07-22
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.7 / M41 / H41.3