TPredictions

@TPredictions

#200,43249

0xeaa68b060c1cf0630aa43748beb4cf6a01700a65

~156d· 207 markets · 1068 tradesVol: $182,1972026-09-28 13:49:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (82/184)7.3/20
1.11x (win $683 / loss $616)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.71713.5/15
Sortino 0.9339.3/10
$+0.0172 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 466 (184 markets)10/10
41/87 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 116% of peak ($164 / $141)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+218
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#55,265$135Vol: $113,024
💰 FINANCE#30,124$37Vol: $50,896
🎭 CULTURE#69,457$10Vol: $11,491
₿ CRYPTO#1,335,994$-31Vol: $4,009
⚽ SPORTS#1,390,524$-12Vol: $2,420
📈 ECONOMICS#57,172$5Vol: $140
📢 MENTIONS#137,968$-12Vol: $130
💻 TECH#44,827$1Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$182,197
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
207
total markets
Trades
706B / 362S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~156d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $200
Week
$-26
Vol: $350
Month
$-8
Vol: $5,785
All Time
$134
Vol: $182,197

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
82W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$218
Win Rate
45%
82W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $140 (0.6442188433092931% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$59
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?$42
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$39
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?$33
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?$30
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?$26
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?$24
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$23
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$22
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?$22

Top Losers

Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?$-116
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?$-57
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$-34
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-33
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-21
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?$-19
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$-16
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?$-13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$-12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.040
HHI
719
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.2%
Top-5 markets
38.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2030s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)8.9%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 5:52:07 AM6 trades$6060 min
9/17/2026, 2:07:37 AM3 trades$3910 min
4/24/2026, 5:01:20 AM13 trades$3653 min
5/4/2026, 2:54:42 AM2 trades$2000 min
4/10/2026, 2:52:41 AM3 trades$1750 min
4/24/2026, 6:31:58 PM4 trades$1501 min
7/4/2026, 5:44:56 AM5 trades$1151 min
4/24/2026, 3:06:54 AM3 trades$1080 min
1/29/2026, 5:06:04 AM2 trades$1020 min
5/19/2026, 6:00:58 PM3 trades$1000 min
5/3/2026, 3:48:10 AM8 trades$985 min
12/8/2025, 10:14:59 AM1 trades$970 min
12/8/2025, 8:13:33 AM1 trades$970 min
11/29/2025, 5:32:05 AM2 trades$903 min
2/1/2026, 4:59:04 AM3 trades$850 min
1/15/2026, 9:19:56 AM6 trades$823 min
1/14/2026, 3:27:30 PM1 trades$810 min
2/11/2026, 11:13:49 AM1 trades$770 min
1/15/2026, 9:36:10 AM2 trades$730 min
1/11/2026, 4:42:30 AM1 trades$700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
11-29
12-31
01-29
02-19
03-20
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.4 / M22.7 / H8.9