@50kcasestudy
#63,415750xeb54562f0132336a725d1303f6110136161dd452
~84d· 3272 markets · 30481 tradesVol: $614,4052026-09-21 09:30:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
65% (2089/3212)17.5/20
1.25x (win $59,758 / loss $47,770)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19315/15
Sortino 7.65810/10
$+0.0720 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 262 (3212 markets)10/10
42/81 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($4,133 / $12,506)7.4/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+1,603
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Whale
$166,387 invested
High Roller
$1,232/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#19,351$2,342Vol: $214,176
🌤️ WEATHER#308,422$-2,922Vol: $156,947
₿ CRYPTO#1,659,221$-823Vol: $132,848
🏛️ POLITICS#8,526$3,335Vol: $65,347
🎭 CULTURE#811,395$-253Vol: $9,602
💰 FINANCE#622,954$-39Vol: $8,266
📈 ECONOMICS#8,609$191Vol: $7,351
📢 MENTIONS#165,055$-74Vol: $4,648
💻 TECH#7,570$73Vol: $1,727
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,603
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$614,405
Total Redeem
$635
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3272
total markets
Trades
17629B / 12852S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $2
All Time
$1,603
Vol: $614,405
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
65%
2087W / 1124L events
Realized PnL
$1,603
Win Rate
65%
2087W / 1124L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-45
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,605 (5.369578104622066% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4,509
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$2,286
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1,810
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$1,520
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1,292
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$1,246
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$1,243
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1,215
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$1,113
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1,074
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-1,795
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-1,208
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-1,162
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-1,137
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-977
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$-919
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-803
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-746
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$-509
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)$-498
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.324
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.062
Kelly %
20.7%
Half-Kelly
10.3%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
225.8
Very active
Markets / Day
24.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
40 min
Avg Trades / Session
276.9
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock226 trades/day — automation24 markets/day — mass coverage56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)69.9%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 7:27:55 PM549 trades$53,44163 min
6/18/2026, 4:15:41 PM2311 trades$47,146148 min
6/15/2026, 9:51:13 PM16 trades$25,4451 min
6/14/2026, 8:46:30 PM2772 trades$17,233398 min
4/23/2026, 10:47:20 PM419 trades$4,03032 min
6/15/2026, 2:50:15 PM467 trades$3,931178 min
6/15/2026, 4:28:12 AM499 trades$3,82468 min
6/14/2026, 5:34:00 AM837 trades$3,72583 min
6/13/2026, 4:16:48 AM571 trades$3,270126 min
6/14/2026, 12:02:19 AM498 trades$2,63268 min
6/14/2026, 8:26:00 AM433 trades$2,36474 min
5/15/2026, 1:58:14 PM17 trades$2,2973 min
8/21/2026, 2:17:04 PM123 trades$2,2563 min
6/13/2026, 8:52:40 PM260 trades$2,10449 min
4/18/2026, 8:50:28 AM68 trades$1,8308 min
6/14/2026, 2:16:24 PM312 trades$1,81170 min
6/14/2026, 1:19:42 AM404 trades$1,79217 min
5/23/2026, 2:46:29 PM24 trades$1,7380 min
6/15/2026, 6:24:21 AM345 trades$1,72846 min
6/14/2026, 6:28:12 PM167 trades$1,46638 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-26
05-09
05-22
06-10
06-23
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M25.8 / H69.9