@dry-september
#18,675500xeb77593d1187a2d01c22fb24567b21cddd214e6b
~76d· 199 markets · 4805 tradesVol: $1,649,8992026-08-02 15:43:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (61/184)1.6/20
1.30x (win $180,037 / loss $138,145)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.02915/15
Sortino 3.65510/10
$+0.1360 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 385 (184 markets)10/10
12/47 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 166% of peak ($73,437 / $44,238)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+7,266
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$307,958 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#5,595$5,980Vol: $1,248,203
📈 ECONOMICS#668,622$-212Vol: $271,870
💰 FINANCE#649,245$-517Vol: $45,137
💻 TECH#449$4,133Vol: $41,971
⚽ SPORTS#1,833,434$-1,151Vol: $21,965
₿ CRYPTO#1,603,088$-717Vol: $18,123
🎭 CULTURE#787,913$-138Vol: $1,480
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,358
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,649,899
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
199
total markets
Trades
2411B / 2394S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d
Periods
#2Today
$287
Vol: $63,611
Week
$-2,969
Vol: $63,611
Month
$273
Vol: $63,611
All Time
$7,358
Vol: $1,649,899
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
61W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$7,266
Win Rate
33%
61W / 123L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$2,951
Avg Loss
$-1,171
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127,744 (17.58021702780626% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$68,894
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34,439
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$24,411
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$13,225
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$12,400
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$11,750
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4,246
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,968
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,804
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1,750
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-14,640
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$-12,512
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-11,202
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-9,764
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-9,397
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-9,326
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-8,770
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-8,714
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-8,493
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-7,499
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.178
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.187
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
22.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.3m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 25s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)43.4%
Sessions
#127/26/2026, 10:00:19 PM122 trades$91,5720 min
5/28/2026, 2:12:59 PM116 trades$59,8720 min
5/20/2026, 3:15:40 PM128 trades$41,3771 min
6/11/2026, 5:28:57 PM41 trades$35,4180 min
5/5/2026, 10:52:20 PM27 trades$25,8480 min
7/20/2026, 11:30:19 AM43 trades$24,3950 min
5/28/2026, 2:18:56 PM112 trades$22,60615 min
6/9/2026, 4:38:18 PM147 trades$22,3871 min
8/2/2026, 4:00:12 AM47 trades$20,9740 min
6/1/2026, 3:30:47 PM57 trades$20,5520 min
7/31/2026, 1:00:12 AM50 trades$19,8870 min
8/2/2026, 3:07:09 AM35 trades$19,2630 min
7/10/2026, 2:33:04 PM21 trades$18,9850 min
7/30/2026, 9:51:08 AM20 trades$18,0200 min
6/17/2026, 3:02:41 PM91 trades$17,1950 min
8/2/2026, 2:05:54 AM31 trades$17,1230 min
6/12/2026, 2:52:55 PM74 trades$16,0600 min
5/18/2026, 7:01:35 PM79 trades$15,9950 min
5/20/2026, 2:16:50 PM81 trades$14,7120 min
7/1/2026, 7:26:50 PM40 trades$13,4081 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-12
10-29
04-30
05-28
06-14
07-07
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.2 / M32.4 / H43.4