@longtermgains
#3,023,515160xebdc7650c1a441894071899c2941eea0bd5fbf08
~79d· 93 markets · 701 tradesVol: $197,4352026-08-04 19:48:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (20/48)5.8/20
0.22x (win $1,066 / loss $4,824)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3280/15
Sortino -6.0410/10
$-0.1885 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1782 (48 markets)3.6/10
13/23 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,771 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,062$-2,278Vol: $122,447
🎭 CULTURE#808,571$-721Vol: $63,196
⚽ SPORTS#89,921$191Vol: $4,596
📈 ECONOMICS#672,358$-300Vol: $4,136
💻 TECH#29,061$3Vol: $1,526
₿ CRYPTO#1,080,163$-6Vol: $1,050
💰 FINANCE#19,347$89Vol: $484
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,023
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$197,435
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
435B / 266S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $1,293
Week
$-65
Vol: $1,375
Month
$12
Vol: $1,375
All Time
$-3,023
Vol: $197,435
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
21W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-3,023
Win Rate
44%
21W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-302
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $673 (0.2226033287468247% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$396
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$139
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$138
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?$100
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$96
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$48
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$41
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$14
Top Losers
US government shutdown Saturday?$-1,813
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$-1,623
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-416
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-299
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-283
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$-260
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$-41
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?$-30
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-28
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$-15
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.324
Sortino
-0.230
HHI
984
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.257
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.7%
Top-5 markets
49.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 486s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)31%
Sessions
#127/18/2026, 11:49:43 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
1/30/2026, 8:50:00 PM2 trades$1,8691 min
1/30/2026, 12:01:16 PM16 trades$1,1713 min
1/30/2026, 8:03:02 PM1 trades$1,0200 min
1/30/2026, 8:31:16 PM15 trades$1,0200 min
7/2/2026, 3:37:11 PM2 trades$8600 min
5/13/2026, 11:55:14 AM2 trades$7920 min
2/3/2026, 1:33:06 PM2 trades$7102 min
5/13/2026, 11:14:53 AM8 trades$6632 min
2/18/2026, 4:00:42 PM2 trades$6241 min
1/30/2026, 3:36:16 PM2 trades$6211 min
1/30/2026, 2:08:00 PM14 trades$6152 min
1/30/2026, 2:28:38 PM1 trades$6150 min
1/30/2026, 2:48:06 PM8 trades$6141 min
1/30/2026, 2:35:34 PM1 trades$6140 min
1/30/2026, 4:14:52 PM22 trades$6092 min
6/13/2026, 12:04:06 PM10 trades$5155 min
1/31/2026, 3:46:02 PM1 trades$5000 min
1/31/2026, 4:38:12 PM1 trades$5000 min
6/2/2026, 12:21:41 PM5 trades$4993 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-01
02-09
02-25
03-01
06-12
06-29
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.1 / M24.8 / H31