@0xedBe10…7922

#3,122,27324

0xedbe108285993c7b1ab04c03139e82a7589b84d1

~42d· 74 markets · 279 tradesVol: $270,0152026-10-08 02:12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (38/73)11/20
0.68x (win $834 / loss $1,230)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9500/15
Sortino -2.0780/10
$-0.0435 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1371 (73 markets)5.6/10
19/33 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 816% of peak ($784 / $96)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#304,819$-2,307Vol: $237,404
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,170$-397Vol: $32,105
💰 FINANCE#25,721$52Vol: $368
₿ CRYPTO#838,329$-1Vol: $138

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,653
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$270,015
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
178B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$352
Vol: $4,998
Week
$2,141
Vol: $68,969
Month
$-1,231
Vol: $218,114
All Time
$-2,653
Vol: $270,015

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
38W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-58
Win Rate
52%
38W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $419 (7.265903969492113% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$276
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$80
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$63
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$62
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?$55
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?$26
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?$17

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$-350
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-202
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$-142
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?$-92
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?$-54
Iran strike on US military by January 31?$-39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?$-37
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
1097
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
63.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 3.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)53.9%

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 12:52:36 AM2 trades$1,9941 min
1/19/2026, 6:13:06 AM5 trades$1,6366 min
1/17/2026, 8:06:58 AM5 trades$1,5413 min
1/20/2026, 7:44:20 AM4 trades$1,1404 min
1/16/2026, 9:30:00 PM2 trades$9940 min
1/29/2026, 4:18:40 AM1 trades$8800 min
1/15/2026, 2:51:40 AM4 trades$7633 min
1/18/2026, 5:19:36 AM1 trades$6050 min
1/17/2026, 10:46:14 PM1 trades$6000 min
1/21/2026, 3:19:22 PM1 trades$6000 min
2/1/2026, 4:26:24 AM1 trades$4970 min
1/15/2026, 3:04:16 AM1 trades$4000 min
1/16/2026, 10:06:42 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/15/2026, 7:16:24 AM3 trades$3001 min
1/14/2026, 5:40:30 PM3 trades$2904 min
1/13/2026, 7:35:04 PM2 trades$2680 min
1/14/2026, 7:16:22 AM2 trades$2291 min
1/14/2026, 12:09:04 PM1 trades$2290 min
1/25/2026, 5:43:14 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/27/2026, 4:08:25 AM1 trades$1610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-17
01-30
06-29
07-10
07-31
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.8 / M20.2 / H53.9