@johnashbough

#2,165,18764

0xef13bdcecd9c13e4a07bb20924657f3b110263d9

~28d· 209 markets · 2311 tradesVol: $7,7962026-08-03 21:34:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (51/77)18.1/20
1.24x (win $252 / loss $203)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.45015/15
Sortino 2.83610/10
$+0.0128 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 281 (77 markets)10/10
9/19 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($78 / $49)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#90,040$50Vol: $3,793
📢 MENTIONS#104,867$-3Vol: $1,431
⚽ SPORTS#1,383,802$-12Vol: $1,079
💰 FINANCE#621,741$-58Vol: $941
🌤️ WEATHER#164,045$-0Vol: $170
🎭 CULTURE#637,044$-5Vol: $162
📈 ECONOMICS#72,482$3Vol: $121
₿ CRYPTO#727,026$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,796
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
209
total markets
Trades
1137B / 1174S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $79
Week
$-5
Vol: $205
Month
$-1
Vol: $205
All Time
$-26
Vol: $7,796

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
51W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-26
Win Rate
66%
51W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (4.958715596330276% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?$94
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?$19
Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?$16
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-25?$12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?$9
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$8
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?$8
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$7
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-25?$7

Top Losers

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-34
Will COD Meknès vs. HUS Agadir end in a draw?$-19
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-15
Will New Zealand win?$-10
Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?$-10
Will Pat McFadden be in the Burnham cabinet?$-10
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on June 30?$-10
Maghreb AS de Fès leading at halftime?$-8
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.074
Sortino
0.097
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
6.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
62% gaps < 5s — fast executionCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 12:58:22 AM600 trades$9015 min
6/28/2026, 9:37:28 AM170 trades$6664 min
7/5/2026, 3:30:49 PM542 trades$5273 min
6/28/2026, 6:47:28 AM110 trades$4031 min
6/25/2026, 3:21:19 PM42 trades$1407 min
6/28/2026, 1:25:55 AM42 trades$1090 min
7/14/2026, 4:58:55 PM8 trades$1003 min
6/22/2026, 9:29:16 AM4 trades$880 min
7/16/2026, 11:49:53 PM7 trades$820 min
6/25/2026, 5:34:11 PM30 trades$790 min
7/21/2026, 6:19:18 AM5 trades$670 min
6/28/2026, 1:48:44 PM18 trades$623 min
6/28/2026, 10:04:37 AM29 trades$587 min
6/28/2026, 1:20:10 PM24 trades$557 min
6/26/2026, 5:41:56 PM20 trades$520 min
6/25/2026, 2:27:47 PM23 trades$512 min
6/21/2026, 3:55:44 AM16 trades$500 min
6/22/2026, 9:38:35 AM20 trades$490 min
7/7/2026, 12:40:10 AM20 trades$480 min
6/25/2026, 8:08:53 PM12 trades$454 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-21
06-26
07-14
07-18
07-22
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M5.4 / H93.9