@Valeron0812

#229,2950

0xef2a7668b469a724c5f95ee070e5247e3502a4a4

~20d· 26 markets · 125 tradesVol: $17,8012026-09-23 03:54:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (4/19)0/20
0.31x (win $152 / loss $484)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2930/15
Sortino -7.2590/10
$-0.1144 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2913 (19 markets)0/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 761% of peak ($420 / $55)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+102
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#45,367$197Vol: $10,853
₿ CRYPTO#1,348,959$-34Vol: $2,843
💰 FINANCE#607,395$-24Vol: $1,944
📈 ECONOMICS#446,465$-1Vol: $1,000
💻 TECH#249,729$-31Vol: $570
⚽ SPORTS#928,333$-1Vol: $391
🎭 CULTURE#289,699$0Vol: $120
🌤️ WEATHER#218,380$-4Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,801
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
95B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Week
$18
Vol: $1,580
Month
$227
Vol: $9,476
All Time
$102
Vol: $17,801

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
4W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$102
Win Rate
21%
4W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $136 (1.3287711408739855% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$85
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$33
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$18
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$16

Top Losers

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$-190
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$-130
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-49
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-30
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$-28
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-12
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-11
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?$-5
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.365
Sortino
-0.385
HHI
616
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.196
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
46.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1074s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)11.6%
High (>55c)68.4%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 7:43:17 PM6 trades$9791 min
9/17/2026, 1:59:09 AM3 trades$4710 min
9/17/2026, 8:00:04 AM2 trades$2490 min
9/16/2026, 8:09:55 PM1 trades$1810 min
6/11/2026, 7:26:28 AM2 trades$1650 min
6/9/2026, 5:57:22 AM8 trades$1403 min
6/8/2026, 12:49:03 PM4 trades$1342 min
6/11/2026, 8:23:04 AM4 trades$1263 min
9/16/2026, 12:01:01 PM1 trades$1100 min
9/15/2026, 11:21:43 PM1 trades$1030 min
6/12/2026, 7:50:04 AM6 trades$904 min
6/11/2026, 6:40:15 AM4 trades$864 min
6/12/2026, 9:23:04 AM3 trades$850 min
9/13/2026, 1:36:04 PM1 trades$710 min
9/13/2026, 1:29:27 PM1 trades$700 min
6/7/2026, 5:17:49 PM4 trades$610 min
6/11/2026, 8:00:04 AM1 trades$540 min
6/12/2026, 9:17:57 AM2 trades$540 min
9/16/2026, 9:10:55 PM1 trades$520 min
6/11/2026, 1:31:43 PM1 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-08
06-10
06-12
06-14
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20 / M11.6 / H68.4