ke1pie

@ke1pie

#2,990,68440

0xf0074ef760ba7c1b3f43a0d378a866246445d94a

~188d· 341 markets · 1830 tradesVol: $433,500 @kelpiees2026-08-02 08:03:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (301/340)20/20
0.44x (win $3,405 / loss $7,712)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7110/15
Sortino -1.7220/10
$-0.0135 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 126 (340 markets)10/10
123/146 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 1619% of peak ($5,406 / $334)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 89%
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
Whale
$319,767 invested
Consistent
123/146 profitable days
Win Streak
44 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,979
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$433,500
Total Redeem
$11,357
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
341
total markets
Trades
887B / 943S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
301W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-1,979
Win Rate
89%
301W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-241

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $606 (0.30640206935575137% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$212
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$212
OpenSea airdrop before July?$183
zkSync airdrop by April?$172
Iran leadership change by July 31?$154
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?$154
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$119
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$99
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$83
Any Blast rug >$1m by Mar 7?$82

Top Losers

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-3,725
zkSync airdrop by June 30?$-682
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-554
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$-547
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-487
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$-480
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? $-283
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $-175
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-135
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$-111

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)96.2%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 3:04:22 PM11 trades$10,1172 min
3/1/2026, 10:13:25 PM1 trades$9,9830 min
7/27/2026, 1:18:52 PM7 trades$9,5601 min
3/29/2026, 7:11:10 AM9 trades$7,9263 min
6/29/2026, 7:00:58 PM10 trades$7,4665 min
7/15/2026, 10:15:59 AM13 trades$7,3001 min
3/11/2026, 7:57:55 AM1 trades$6,9070 min
6/18/2026, 12:00:17 PM2 trades$6,7860 min
3/11/2026, 10:06:43 PM3 trades$6,1135 min
3/18/2026, 10:40:13 AM1 trades$5,9700 min
4/26/2026, 2:25:42 PM11 trades$5,7441 min
7/4/2026, 9:42:10 PM3 trades$5,4920 min
5/8/2026, 7:17:35 AM7 trades$5,3733 min
3/6/2026, 8:52:49 AM2 trades$5,2830 min
4/23/2026, 9:44:38 PM2 trades$5,1464 min
7/28/2025, 9:30:15 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
7/5/2026, 3:44:35 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/24/2026, 5:50:26 AM1 trades$4,9950 min
3/16/2026, 4:56:15 PM2 trades$4,9850 min
6/17/2026, 4:19:37 PM24 trades$4,9727 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
10-09
02-10
03-27
05-04
06-16
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 748 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M1.6 / H96.2