@Outsid3rTrading
#1,781610xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6
~262d· 1393 markets · 18343 tradesVol: $10,416,0602026-08-04 15:18:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (738/1334)12.7/20
1.16x (win $1,614,522 / loss $1,392,355)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.24215/15
Sortino 2.96710/10
$+0.0502 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 46 (1334 markets)10/10
118/221 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($164,288 / $234,530)0/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+108,427
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Whale
$4,427,769 invested
High Roller
$13,217/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,001$77,216Vol: $7,450,845
🏛️ POLITICS#1,293$38,163Vol: $2,252,070
📈 ECONOMICS#690$8,773Vol: $301,999
🎭 CULTURE#817,976$-6,070Vol: $74,047
💰 FINANCE#658,309$-12,203Vol: $67,488
₿ CRYPTO#5,920$8,434Vol: $66,203
💻 TECH#469$4,013Vol: $21,261
📢 MENTIONS#17,671$13Vol: $575
Overview
#1Net PnL
$108,905
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,416,060
Total Redeem
$110,686
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1393
total markets
Trades
17258B / 1085S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d
Periods
#2Today
$8,424
Vol: $64,697
Week
$7,011
Vol: $229,330
Month
$6,852
Vol: $246,886
All Time
$108,905
Vol: $10,416,060
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
738W / 596L events
Realized PnL
$108,427
Win Rate
55%
738W / 596L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$2,188
Avg Loss
$-2,348
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $295,168 (2.7222847940053074% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$182,640
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$88,484
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $24,044
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$19,320
76ers vs. Celtics$17,700
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$15,800
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$13,751
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13,230
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$12,400
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$11,040
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-43,201
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-24,095
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-21,670
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-21,284
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-18,476
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-15,283
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-14,529
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-14,030
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-12,808
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-11,845
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.065
Sortino
0.137
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
54.8
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.5m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 3.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading4.2 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)39.6%
High (>55c)38.4%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 4:04:48 AM8 trades$39,2000 min
4/26/2026, 3:54:46 AM2 trades$35,8560 min
7/20/2026, 10:39:40 PM14 trades$30,10611 min
1/30/2026, 9:00:36 AM1 trades$29,8370 min
3/31/2026, 9:23:13 PM6 trades$24,7360 min
2/17/2026, 7:40:27 PM2 trades$21,8001 min
6/11/2026, 5:39:49 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
7/22/2026, 5:37:00 AM1 trades$19,8800 min
6/14/2026, 9:57:12 AM1 trades$19,0000 min
8/2/2026, 5:40:06 AM9 trades$18,0545 min
6/20/2026, 7:06:37 PM35 trades$18,0316 min
1/30/2026, 8:16:12 AM3 trades$17,9835 min
3/11/2026, 5:41:07 AM1 trades$17,9820 min
8/2/2026, 3:07:06 AM6 trades$17,1495 min
6/20/2026, 2:38:01 AM43 trades$16,89212 min
3/26/2026, 10:34:33 PM16 trades$16,4808 min
6/29/2026, 12:58:14 AM2 trades$16,4000 min
2/26/2026, 7:53:12 AM2 trades$16,3030 min
1/27/2026, 3:37:37 AM70 trades$16,00041 min
6/12/2026, 10:24:36 AM38 trades$15,5234 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-06
12-07
01-14
02-20
04-04
05-30
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 98 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22 / M39.6 / H38.4