@tunatyler
#955400xf1f9a438f2697381b4ac8eb283d6f4dd772d1245
~652d· 2117 markets · 31758 tradesVol: $13,974,2912026-09-21 03:11:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (1221/2086)14.3/20
1.06x (win $662,026 / loss $626,981)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1773.3/15
Sortino 0.2032/10
$+0.0099 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 74 (2086 markets)10/10
287/500 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 105% of peak ($205,956 / $195,856)0/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+204,574
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.3 entries/market
Whale
$3,555,980 invested
High Roller
$4,582/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#402$129,581Vol: $8,941,313
📈 ECONOMICS#615$11,405Vol: $1,593,511
🎭 CULTURE#272$31,015Vol: $1,181,027
₿ CRYPTO#2,230$20,538Vol: $718,122
📢 MENTIONS#48$37,950Vol: $485,980
⚽ SPORTS#29,911$1,489Vol: $423,677
💻 TECH#1,151$1,458Vol: $328,280
💰 FINANCE#671,258$-6,284Vol: $201,915
🌤️ WEATHER#299,314$-192Vol: $7,349
Overview
#1Net PnL
$234,601
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,974,291
Total Redeem
$50,644
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2117
total markets
Trades
23140B / 8618S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~652d
Periods
#2Today
$356
Vol: $65
Week
$356
Vol: $27,143
Month
$25,366
Vol: $289,749
All Time
$234,601
Vol: $13,974,291
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
1221W / 865L events
Realized PnL
$204,574
Win Rate
59%
1221W / 865L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$542
Avg Loss
$-754
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $86,605 (0.42334356157949876% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$33,214
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$27,248
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$26,143
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$21,525
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$15,694
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$14,006
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$13,323
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$12,878
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$12,138
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$11,403
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-121,858
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-31,936
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-18,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-15,979
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-15,665
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-13,994
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-13,933
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-13,932
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-10,931
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-10,401
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.007
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
17%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
40.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.9m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 3.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.9%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)35.4%
Sessions
#126/12/2025, 9:00:25 PM22 trades$42,28622 min
6/3/2025, 3:46:46 PM15 trades$37,55617 min
4/29/2025, 5:01:06 AM15 trades$28,77610 min
1/30/2026, 12:37:36 AM172 trades$28,05470 min
2/28/2026, 8:43:59 PM41 trades$27,91710 min
3/1/2026, 6:12:59 PM33 trades$27,71227 min
6/3/2026, 12:25:39 AM2 trades$25,0000 min
5/7/2026, 3:24:39 PM20 trades$24,1155 min
2/26/2026, 6:48:26 PM14 trades$23,92611 min
3/4/2026, 3:23:57 AM2 trades$23,3050 min
3/2/2026, 8:18:49 PM77 trades$22,23710 min
2/28/2026, 6:22:59 AM55 trades$21,65919 min
4/12/2026, 7:15:07 PM16 trades$20,7227 min
1/30/2026, 2:23:54 AM27 trades$20,34119 min
3/4/2026, 4:17:15 PM6 trades$20,0987 min
4/30/2025, 10:54:05 PM2 trades$20,0685 min
12/31/2025, 5:55:25 AM1 trades$19,9600 min
4/30/2025, 11:20:36 PM1 trades$19,9400 min
11/18/2025, 4:12:11 PM5 trades$19,9302 min
4/7/2026, 10:33:29 PM48 trades$19,8787 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
12-17
03-28
07-20
10-30
02-20
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.9 / M26.7 / H35.4