@fedparodi

#3,141,7157

0xf23d6935eed2a8e52899342c1195f19471efb77a

~89d· 39 markets · 452 tradesVol: $348,0392026-09-20 13:18:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (6/28)0/20
0.19x (win $3,478 / loss $18,227)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5320/15
Sortino -7.2890/10
$-0.5922 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1091 (28 markets)7/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 13756% of peak ($14,857 / $108)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,656,746$-7,595Vol: $192,312
₿ CRYPTO#1,723,742$-8,629Vol: $142,782
💰 FINANCE#13,047$193Vol: $12,944

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,031
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$348,039
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
330B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$214
Vol: $0
Week
$-274
Vol: $0
Month
$-809
Vol: $3,852
All Time
$-16,031
Vol: $348,039

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
6W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-15,295
Win Rate
21%
6W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$580
Avg Loss
$-829

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,472 (0.22702532717288756% of PnL)

Top Winners

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $2,083
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$781
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?$608
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?$1
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?$1

Top Losers

Starmer out in 2025?$-4,132
Bitcoin Up or Down in April?$-3,726
Starmer out before July?$-2,862
Bitcoin Up or Down in Q2?$-1,199
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$-1,037
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?$-889
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-650
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?$-550
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?$-500
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-465

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.386
Sortino
-0.381
HHI
762
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.725
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
53.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1523s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)4.5%

Sessions

#12
8/31/2026, 2:59:09 PM55 trades$3,67315 min
8/31/2026, 3:39:30 PM8 trades$2,3103 min
4/17/2025, 3:57:34 PM1 trades$1,9880 min
7/15/2026, 2:13:28 PM1 trades$1,8600 min
4/20/2025, 10:34:42 PM3 trades$1,7500 min
6/1/2025, 2:42:37 PM1 trades$1,4890 min
4/16/2025, 7:15:13 PM1 trades$1,3800 min
6/1/2025, 7:32:09 AM1 trades$1,3480 min
9/1/2026, 6:36:43 AM10 trades$1,0921 min
4/20/2025, 7:28:00 PM1 trades$1,0500 min
1/5/2026, 10:26:23 PM2 trades$1,0381 min
9/1/2026, 10:35:43 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/31/2026, 8:24:07 PM4 trades$8830 min
1/4/2026, 11:39:13 PM5 trades$7502 min
8/2/2026, 2:13:39 PM4 trades$7310 min
5/8/2025, 7:07:51 AM1 trades$6000 min
4/20/2025, 7:17:10 PM2 trades$5935 min
8/2/2025, 11:07:12 AM1 trades$5500 min
3/12/2026, 7:18:53 AM1 trades$5400 min
8/31/2026, 4:39:54 PM5 trades$5305 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
05-31
07-01
08-02
11-22
01-28
03-14
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 408 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87 / M8.5 / H4.5