@SebW

#3,165,76314

0xf2f2df41cd3ff33147e622869ac052ce5ad2d1f0

~55d· 368 markets · 1608 tradesVol: $303,3622026-10-08 01:39:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (70/200)2.5/20
0.64x (win $791 / loss $1,236)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5740/15
Sortino -3.9440/10
$-0.0385 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 101 (200 markets)10/10
18/51 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 741% of peak ($514 / $69)0/10

Badges

2
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#304,278$-1,534Vol: $94,493
🎭 CULTURE#822,672$-1,375Vol: $43,302
💰 FINANCE#664,903$-1,064Vol: $36,575
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,444$-1,212Vol: $35,888
💻 TECH#273,304$-1,124Vol: $34,918
📈 ECONOMICS#692,170$-504Vol: $15,224
⚽ SPORTS#1,838,081$-454Vol: $14,885
₿ CRYPTO#1,589,472$-236Vol: $11,062
📢 MENTIONS#172,300$-145Vol: $3,266

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$303,362
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
368
total markets
Trades
1203B / 405S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-108
Vol: $2,948
Week
$-692
Vol: $24,296
Month
$-3,117
Vol: $120,375
All Time
$-8,203
Vol: $303,362

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
70W / 130L events
Realized PnL
$-1,750
Win Rate
35%
70W / 130L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202 (0.11521206128945607% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?$81
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$75
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$46
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?$40
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$40
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$36
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$31
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$28
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?$26

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-100
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$-63
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$-59
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-52
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-52
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?$-45
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-43
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.191
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.7
Active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 876s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency6.6 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)60.8%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 10:27:06 PM13 trades$1187 min
7/25/2026, 4:05:12 AM3 trades$1081 min
7/29/2026, 6:46:33 PM10 trades$9810 min
7/26/2026, 9:53:15 PM4 trades$963 min
6/14/2026, 2:33:27 PM4 trades$922 min
7/5/2026, 6:59:19 AM4 trades$912 min
7/8/2026, 2:47:37 AM3 trades$901 min
6/11/2026, 12:31:45 PM3 trades$893 min
6/11/2026, 12:48:57 PM4 trades$880 min
7/23/2026, 12:05:25 AM5 trades$850 min
7/26/2026, 2:09:48 PM4 trades$825 min
7/4/2026, 8:10:16 PM3 trades$792 min
6/12/2026, 12:29:49 PM8 trades$789 min
7/21/2026, 11:40:54 AM4 trades$744 min
7/7/2026, 12:35:04 PM7 trades$742 min
7/25/2026, 11:26:09 PM2 trades$720 min
7/22/2026, 10:56:15 AM6 trades$715 min
7/8/2026, 12:45:52 PM4 trades$710 min
7/7/2026, 11:10:41 PM4 trades$681 min
7/2/2026, 9:51:19 PM4 trades$672 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-18
06-27
07-06
07-14
07-22
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M29.2 / H60.8