@moloko-3

#2,880,80526

0xf3bc863610008682c4fa3eb4bf170f1f06ba7d27

~46d· 35 markets · 119 tradesVol: $43,5852026-08-02 04:11:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (17/31)12.4/20
0.47x (win $490 / loss $1,036)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0800/15
Sortino -4.5180/10
$-0.0645 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 743 (31 markets)8.8/10
13/27 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 1147% of peak ($659 / $57)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,535,520$-123Vol: $23,000
CRYPTO#1,571,227$-360Vol: $13,786
💰 FINANCE#49,952$13Vol: $2,134
🌤️ WEATHER#201,867$-2Vol: $1,735
🎭 CULTURE#140,323$1Vol: $1,530
💻 TECH#251,963$-196Vol: $1,400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-667
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,585
Total Redeem
$2,245
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
60B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-667
Vol: $43,585

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
17W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-667
Win Rate
55%
17W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $372 (0.5578768972343873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$220
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$101
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$51
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$30
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$23
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$18
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$16
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$13
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$6
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$4

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-343
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$-196
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?$-132
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$-109
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$-100
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?$-94
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-52
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-4
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-4
Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.210
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
695
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
50.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4918s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)60%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 11:23:59 AM2 trades$1,3900 min
5/26/2026, 1:42:01 PM13 trades$1,1770 min
4/25/2026, 8:47:44 AM8 trades$7480 min
4/29/2026, 11:55:42 PM1 trades$7330 min
4/29/2026, 6:46:42 AM1 trades$7250 min
2/7/2026, 5:28:25 PM2 trades$6280 min
2/7/2026, 6:30:09 PM2 trades$6000 min
2/7/2026, 11:16:55 PM4 trades$5392 min
3/21/2026, 8:24:39 PM1 trades$4960 min
3/3/2026, 7:44:31 PM1 trades$4850 min
3/6/2026, 12:21:51 PM1 trades$4850 min
3/3/2026, 6:22:33 PM1 trades$4720 min
2/27/2026, 9:44:31 AM1 trades$4650 min
1/11/2026, 10:49:58 PM1 trades$4400 min
1/28/2026, 11:05:09 AM1 trades$4400 min
2/7/2026, 2:49:09 PM1 trades$4080 min
4/27/2026, 8:36:24 PM2 trades$3903 min
12/30/2025, 8:42:41 AM1 trades$3750 min
12/9/2025, 11:55:59 AM1 trades$3360 min
12/7/2025, 6:40:27 PM1 trades$3120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
01-11
02-12
02-27
04-21
04-27
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.3 / M11.7 / H60