@0xrafriki

#90,03317

0xf48d469de76a6680a70eb43f30f0701d6c57eb86

~4d· 18 markets · 45 tradesVol: $16,8952026-08-26 09:16:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (8/15)11.7/20
0.12x (win $29 / loss $247)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7240/15
Sortino -7.1820/10
$-1.5509 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2980 (15 markets)0/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 1288% of peak ($237 / $18)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
95% entries < $0.55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,895
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
19B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~4d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
8W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
62%
8W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (5.077639751552796% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-131
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.391
Sortino
-0.304
HHI
2854
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.585
Kelly %
6.7%
Half-Kelly
3.3%
Top-1 market
46.4%
Top-5 markets
87%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2750s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.67
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)94.7%
High (>55c)5.3%

Sessions

#12
8/21/2026, 7:13:07 AM5 trades$1310 min
8/21/2026, 9:37:18 PM3 trades$650 min
8/21/2026, 2:54:54 PM3 trades$330 min
8/20/2026, 7:42:57 PM3 trades$80 min
8/21/2026, 2:11:06 PM2 trades$80 min
8/20/2026, 11:24:12 PM2 trades$40 min
8/21/2026, 6:35:39 AM3 trades$40 min
8/21/2026, 1:55:34 PM3 trades$40 min
8/21/2026, 8:09:03 PM2 trades$40 min
8/20/2026, 10:03:24 PM4 trades$40 min
2/15/2026, 9:42:15 PM2 trades$22 min
8/21/2026, 5:49:49 AM2 trades$20 min
8/21/2026, 4:18:16 PM2 trades$20 min
8/21/2026, 5:24:46 PM2 trades$20 min
8/21/2026, 8:42:51 PM2 trades$20 min
8/21/2026, 10:22:51 PM2 trades$20 min
8/21/2026, 10:33:57 PM2 trades$20 min
2/16/2026, 12:50:59 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-20 20:00:00
2026-08-20 23:40:00
2026-08-21 06:55:00
2026-08-21 14:15:00
2026-08-21 15:10:00
2026-08-21 17:40:00
2026-08-21 21:00:00
2026-08-21 22:40:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M94.7 / H5.3