nailystarnailystar

@nailystarnailystar

#2,927,08728

0xf5463c2b017f9dd5c64360472298daadec3ade65

~34d· 38 markets · 43 tradesVol: $3,648 @Tanya65861474832026-09-10 14:21:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (23/37)16.1/20
0.12x (win $80 / loss $686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7770/15
Sortino -3.7090/10
$-0.2325 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1740 (37 markets)3.8/10
20/33 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 13272% of peak ($611 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Consistent
20/33 profitable days

Categories

5
CRYPTO#908,573$-1Vol: $1,912
SPORTS#1,827,572$-596Vol: $1,565
💰 FINANCE#395,870$-0Vol: $109
🏛️ POLITICS#696,401$-0Vol: $28
🎭 CULTURE#215,241$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-597
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,648
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
39B / 4S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $109
Week
$0
Vol: $109
Month
$0
Vol: $109
All Time
$-597
Vol: $3,648

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
23W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-597
Win Rate
62%
23W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (0.06012933923066613% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Lions (-8.5)$16
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)$14
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?$6
Trail Blazers vs. Bucks$5
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)$5
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5$5
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5$5
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)$5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?$4
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?$4

Top Losers

Army vs. Navy$-405
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5$-135
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)$-45
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?$-26
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5$-15
Ducks vs. Islanders$-15
Solana above $185 on January 3?$-12
Suns vs. Jazz$-10
Nuggets vs. Wizards$-7
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
1684
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.4%
Top-5 markets
77%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 586s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.05
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)56.4%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 7:50:05 AM2 trades$6930 min
11/19/2025, 7:28:45 PM1 trades$6790 min
12/13/2025, 9:09:49 PM1 trades$4050 min
5/15/2026, 6:54:55 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/13/2025, 9:52:01 AM1 trades$1350 min
9/10/2026, 8:57:12 AM4 trades$1090 min
3/15/2026, 8:22:29 AM1 trades$1010 min
12/12/2025, 6:38:42 AM1 trades$450 min
3/1/2025, 5:51:42 PM1 trades$260 min
2/25/2025, 11:52:11 AM1 trades$240 min
2/22/2025, 3:59:08 PM1 trades$230 min
2/19/2025, 5:23:47 PM1 trades$220 min
2/15/2025, 6:16:54 AM1 trades$220 min
2/10/2025, 5:29:04 PM1 trades$160 min
10/29/2025, 7:51:07 AM1 trades$150 min
11/10/2025, 12:30:48 PM1 trades$150 min
11/19/2025, 7:18:59 PM1 trades$150 min
12/11/2025, 8:57:17 PM1 trades$150 min
12/7/2024, 6:15:25 PM2 trades$140 min
12/5/2024, 10:19:32 AM1 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
12-08
02-10
03-01
11-10
12-02
12-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 373 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M43.6 / H56.4