@newguy666

#6,83963

0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989

~106d· 337 markets · 4618 tradesVol: $1,162,865 @LooNell2026-08-02 06:39:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (181/333)12.2/20
1.33x (win $102,231 / loss $76,781)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.99315/15
Sortino 2.73710/10
$+0.0392 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 171 (333 markets)10/10
50/86 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($21,484 / $28,652)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+23,214
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Whale
$648,606 invested
High Roller
$5,690/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#701$7,752Vol: $369,367
SPORTS#12,607$3,537Vol: $231,410
CRYPTO#12,251$3,827Vol: $184,849
📈 ECONOMICS#734$8,067Vol: $150,748
🏛️ POLITICS#74,865$73Vol: $142,874
💻 TECH#1,581$832Vol: $12,239
🎭 CULTURE#781,675$-103Vol: $3,235
📢 MENTIONS#84,191$-1Vol: $250
🌤️ WEATHER#57,861$1Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,162,865
Total Redeem
$29,291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
2655B / 1963S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$67
Vol: $0
Week
$1,855
Vol: $0
Month
$286
Vol: $780
All Time
$23,214
Vol: $1,162,865

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
181W / 152L events
Realized PnL
$23,214
Win Rate
54%
181W / 152L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$565
Avg Loss
$-565

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,640 (0.9321929855169108% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,401
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$6,753
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5,486
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$4,063
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,956
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$3,660
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2,582
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$2,384
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2,337
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$2,212

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-16,788
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$-7,416
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$-5,868
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,659
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-4,190
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,952
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,830
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$-2,656
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-2,636
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-2,327

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.100
HHI
155
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
19%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.6m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 291s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency3.0 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.61
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)83%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 12:44:34 PM19 trades$64,15114 min
4/14/2026, 11:16:10 PM69 trades$15,20614 min
5/28/2026, 5:10:13 AM8 trades$13,5560 min
6/25/2026, 11:19:41 PM44 trades$12,1339 min
4/30/2026, 3:43:32 AM5 trades$10,8970 min
6/22/2026, 11:45:46 AM2 trades$9,4000 min
6/12/2026, 6:01:40 AM18 trades$9,1949 min
4/28/2026, 1:27:32 PM1 trades$7,5000 min
5/27/2026, 3:27:22 AM1 trades$7,2570 min
4/28/2026, 2:45:08 PM1 trades$6,5100 min
6/25/2026, 1:55:38 PM28 trades$6,1972 min
4/22/2026, 9:50:06 AM19 trades$6,0517 min
5/22/2026, 11:13:23 PM10 trades$5,9003 min
4/29/2026, 1:43:52 PM7 trades$5,7772 min
4/30/2026, 8:31:02 AM10 trades$5,7432 min
7/26/2026, 12:21:57 PM2 trades$5,6440 min
5/1/2026, 5:23:40 AM7 trades$5,6291 min
5/11/2026, 5:51:10 AM3 trades$5,5250 min
4/22/2026, 1:01:34 PM5 trades$5,4611 min
5/20/2026, 2:24:58 AM60 trades$5,12910 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
05-01
05-17
06-09
06-24
07-09
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M12 / H83